Northampton Town vs Colchester United prediction

England · League Two · 24 October 2026

Northampton Town23rd · 10 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Colchester United19th · 12 pts
Northampton TownDrawColchester United
Our predictionNorthampton Town to winOpen game
38%Probability
2.61Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.03-0.76Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Northampton Town38%2.61
  • Draw32%3.13
  • Colchester United30%3.37

Double chance

  • Northampton Town or draw70%1.42
  • Northampton Town or Colchester United68%1.47
  • Draw or Colchester United62%1.62

Goals

  • Over 2.527%3.75
  • Under 2.573%1.36

Both teams to score

  • Yes34%2.94
  • No66%1.52

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Northampton Town 38%, draw 32%, Colchester United 30%.

Expected goals from the model: Northampton Town 1.03, Colchester United 0.76. The single most likely score is 1-0 (17%), and the chance of three or more goals is 27%.

Northampton Town have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LWDLL).

Colchester United have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDLDD).

In the table Northampton Town are 23rd with 10 points and Colchester United 19th with 12.

In their last 4 league meetings Northampton Town won 4, Colchester United won 0 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-017%
  • 0-016%
  • 0-113%
  • 1-113%
  • 2-09%

Northampton Town form

LLDWL
  • Lvs Tranmere Rovers0-12026-10-20
  • Wat Grimsby Town2-02026-10-17
  • Dat York City1-12026-10-10
  • Lvs Rotherham United0-12026-09-19
  • Lat Shrewsbury Town0-22026-09-12

Colchester United form

DDLDD
  • Dat Chesterfield1-12026-10-20
  • Dvs Exeter City0-02026-10-17
  • Lat Newport County0-12026-10-10
  • Dat Shrewsbury Town2-22026-09-26
  • Dvs Cheltenham Town1-12026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2023-02-25Colchester United 0-1 Northampton Town
  • 2022-07-30Northampton Town 3-2 Colchester United
  • 2022-02-19Northampton Town 3-0 Colchester United
  • 2021-08-14Colchester United 0-1 Northampton Town

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.