Exeter City vs Fleetwood Town prediction

England · League Two · 24 October 2026

Exeter City10th · 16 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Fleetwood Town18th · 14 pts
Exeter CityDrawFleetwood Town
Our predictionExeter City to winLean
45%Probability
2.22Fair odds
1-0Likely score
0.98-0.75Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Exeter City45%2.22
  • Draw30%3.29
  • Fleetwood Town25%4.07

Double chance

  • Exeter City or draw75%1.33
  • Exeter City or Fleetwood Town70%1.44
  • Draw or Fleetwood Town55%1.82

Goals

  • Over 2.525%3.96
  • Under 2.575%1.34

Both teams to score

  • Yes33%3.05
  • No67%1.49

Match preview

Exeter City have the edge at 45%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 30% and a win for Fleetwood Town at 25%.

Expected goals from the model: Exeter City 0.98, Fleetwood Town 0.75. The single most likely score is 1-0 (18%), and the chance of three or more goals is 25%.

Exeter City have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDWWL).

Fleetwood Town have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LWDLL).

In the table Exeter City are 10th with 16 points and Fleetwood Town 18th with 14.

In their last 4 league meetings Exeter City won 1, Fleetwood Town won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-018%
  • 0-017%
  • 0-114%
  • 1-113%
  • 2-09%

Exeter City form

LWWDW
  • Wvs Crewe Alexandra2-02026-10-20
  • Dat Colchester United0-02026-10-17
  • Wat Shrewsbury Town1-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Rotherham United1-02026-10-03
  • Lat Bristol Rovers0-12026-09-26

Fleetwood Town form

LLDWL
  • Lat Cheltenham Town2-42026-10-20
  • Wvs Rotherham United2-02026-10-17
  • Dvs Walsall1-12026-10-10
  • Lat Salford City0-12026-10-03
  • Lvs Rochdale1-22026-09-26

Head to head

  • 2024-02-24Exeter City 1-1 Fleetwood Town
  • 2023-11-11Fleetwood Town 3-0 Exeter City
  • 2023-04-01Fleetwood Town 2-2 Exeter City
  • 2022-10-22Exeter City 2-1 Fleetwood Town

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.