Chesterfield vs Crewe Alexandra prediction

England · League Two · 24 October 2026

Chesterfield9th · 16 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Crewe Alexandra3rd · 21 pts
ChesterfieldDrawCrewe Alexandra
Our predictionChesterfield to winLean
53%Probability
1.88Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.65-0.95Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Chesterfield53%1.88
  • Draw26%3.85
  • Crewe Alexandra21%4.83

Double chance

  • Chesterfield or draw79%1.26
  • Chesterfield or Crewe Alexandra74%1.35
  • Draw or Crewe Alexandra47%2.14

Goals

  • Over 2.548%2.07
  • Under 2.552%1.93

Both teams to score

  • Yes49%2.03
  • No51%1.98

Match preview

Chesterfield have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Crewe Alexandra at 21%.

Expected goals from the model: Chesterfield 1.65, Crewe Alexandra 0.95. The single most likely score is 1-0 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 48%.

Chesterfield have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DLDWL).

Crewe Alexandra have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LWWWD).

In the table Chesterfield are 9th with 16 points and Crewe Alexandra 3rd with 21.

In their last 4 league meetings Chesterfield won 2, Crewe Alexandra won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-012%
  • 1-111%
  • 2-010%
  • 2-110%
  • 0-17%

Chesterfield form

LWDLD
  • Dvs Colchester United1-12026-10-20
  • Lat Port Vale0-12026-10-17
  • Dat Crawley Town2-22026-10-10
  • Wvs Tranmere Rovers4-22026-10-03
  • Lat Cheltenham Town1-22026-09-26

Crewe Alexandra form

DWWWL
  • Lat Exeter City0-22026-10-20
  • Wvs Rochdale3-22026-10-17
  • Wat Swindon Town1-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Bristol Rovers3-12026-10-03
  • Dat Rotherham United1-12026-09-26

Head to head

  • 2026-04-25Chesterfield 2-0 Crewe Alexandra
  • 2025-11-22Crewe Alexandra 3-3 Chesterfield
  • 2025-03-01Chesterfield 1-3 Crewe Alexandra
  • 2024-08-17Crewe Alexandra 0-5 Chesterfield

More League Two predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.