Bristol Rovers vs Swindon Town prediction

England · League Two · 24 October 2026

Bristol Rovers16th · 15 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Swindon Town15th · 15 pts
Bristol RoversDrawSwindon Town
Our predictionBristol Rovers to winLean
46%Probability
2.20Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.54-1.14Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Bristol Rovers46%2.20
  • Draw27%3.69
  • Swindon Town27%3.66

Double chance

  • Bristol Rovers or draw73%1.38
  • Bristol Rovers or Swindon Town73%1.37
  • Draw or Swindon Town54%1.84

Goals

  • Over 2.550%1.99
  • Under 2.550%2.01

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.88
  • No47%2.14

Match preview

Bristol Rovers have the edge at 46%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 27% and a win for Swindon Town at 27%.

Expected goals from the model: Bristol Rovers 1.54, Swindon Town 1.14. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.

Bristol Rovers have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLW).

Swindon Town have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WDLLD).

In the table Bristol Rovers are 16th with 15 points and Swindon Town 15th with 15.

In their last 5 league meetings Bristol Rovers won 0, Swindon Town won 3 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-08%
  • 0-18%

Bristol Rovers form

WLLLL
  • Lvs Salford City1-22026-10-20
  • Lat Shrewsbury Town0-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Barnet1-32026-10-10
  • Lat Crewe Alexandra1-32026-10-03
  • Wvs Exeter City1-02026-09-26

Swindon Town form

DLLDW
  • Wat Barnet3-12026-10-20
  • Dvs Walsall1-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Crewe Alexandra0-12026-10-10
  • Lat Rochdale0-12026-10-03
  • Dvs Accrington Stanley1-12026-09-26

Head to head

  • 2026-02-28Swindon Town 1-1 Bristol Rovers
  • 2025-12-13Bristol Rovers 0-3 Swindon Town
  • 2022-01-22Swindon Town 1-1 Bristol Rovers
  • 2021-10-02Bristol Rovers 1-3 Swindon Town
  • 2021-03-23Bristol Rovers 0-1 Swindon Town

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.