Cheltenham Town vs Newport County prediction

England · League Two · 24 October 2026

Cheltenham Town5th · 18 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Newport County12th · 15 pts
Cheltenham TownDrawNewport County
Our predictionCheltenham Town to winOpen game
45%Probability
2.25Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.46-1.23Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Cheltenham Town45%2.25
  • Draw27%3.75
  • Newport County29%3.47

Double chance

  • Cheltenham Town or draw71%1.40
  • Cheltenham Town or Newport County73%1.36
  • Draw or Newport County55%1.80

Goals

  • Over 2.550%1.98
  • Under 2.550%2.02

Both teams to score

  • Yes54%1.85
  • No46%2.18

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Cheltenham Town 45%, draw 27%, Newport County 29%.

Expected goals from the model: Cheltenham Town 1.46, Newport County 1.23. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.

Cheltenham Town have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLLLW).

Newport County have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DDWDW).

In the table Cheltenham Town are 5th with 18 points and Newport County 12th with 15.

In their last 5 league meetings Cheltenham Town won 4, Newport County won 1 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-19%
  • 1-28%

Cheltenham Town form

WLLLW
  • Wvs Fleetwood Town4-22026-10-20
  • Lat Oldham Athletic1-42026-10-17
  • Lvs Salford City0-22026-10-10
  • Lat Accrington Stanley0-22026-10-03
  • Wvs Chesterfield2-12026-09-26

Newport County form

WDWDD
  • Dat Rotherham United2-22026-10-20
  • Dvs York City1-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Colchester United1-02026-10-10
  • Dat Gillingham0-02026-10-03
  • Wvs Grimsby Town2-12026-09-26

Head to head

  • 2026-04-18Cheltenham Town 1-0 Newport County
  • 2025-10-18Newport County 0-2 Cheltenham Town
  • 2025-02-22Newport County 0-3 Cheltenham Town
  • 2024-08-10Cheltenham Town 3-2 Newport County
  • 2021-05-01Newport County 1-0 Cheltenham Town

More League Two predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.