York City vs Accrington Stanley prediction

England · League Two · 20 October 2026

York City
1 - 1Full time
Accrington Stanley
York CityDrawAccrington Stanley
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: York City to win (59%)
Our predictionYork City to winLean
59%Probability
1.70Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.05-1.04Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • York City59%1.70
  • Draw21%4.66
  • Accrington Stanley20%5.08

Double chance

  • York City or draw80%1.24
  • York City or Accrington Stanley79%1.27
  • Draw or Accrington Stanley41%2.43

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.68
  • Under 2.540%2.48

Both teams to score

  • Yes56%1.78
  • No44%2.28

Match preview

York City have the edge at 59%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 21% and a win for Accrington Stanley at 20%.

Expected goals from the model: York City 2.05, Accrington Stanley 1.04. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.

York City have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DDWLW).

Accrington Stanley have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (WDWDD).

Most likely scores

  • 2-110%
  • 2-010%
  • 1-010%
  • 1-110%
  • 3-17%

York City form

WLWDD
  • Dat Newport County1-12026-10-17
  • Dvs Northampton Town1-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Gillingham3-02026-09-26
  • Lat Chesterfield0-22026-09-19
  • Wvs Swindon Town4-02026-09-12

Accrington Stanley form

DDWDW
  • Wvs Gillingham3-12026-10-17
  • Dat Oldham Athletic0-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Cheltenham Town2-02026-10-03
  • Dat Swindon Town1-12026-09-26
  • Dvs Newport County0-02026-09-19

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Analysis

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.