Willem II vs PEC Zwolle prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Willem II23%4.26
- Draw25%4.01
- PEC Zwolle52%1.94
Double chance
- Willem II or draw48%2.07
- Willem II or PEC Zwolle75%1.33
- Draw or PEC Zwolle77%1.31
Goals
- Over 2.554%1.86
- Under 2.546%2.17
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.81
- No45%2.24
Match in numbers
This season, Willem II at home and PEC Zwolle away
| Willem II (home) | PEC Zwolle (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per game | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| Shots on target per game | 2.8 | 4.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 6.8 | 7.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
- Willem II have lost their last 6 league matches.
- Willem II: 18th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 18th in the league.
- PEC Zwolle: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 14th in the league.
- Our predictions for Willem II matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for PEC Zwolle matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
PEC Zwolle have the edge at 52%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Willem II at 23%.
At home this season Willem II average 0.20 points and 0.8 goals per game, conceding 3.2. Away from home PEC Zwolle take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Willem II manage 2.8 per home game and PEC Zwolle 4.4 per away game.
Form lines: Willem II have lost their last 6 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Willem II 1.14, PEC Zwolle 1.69. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 54%.
In their last 5 league meetings Willem II won 2 and PEC Zwolle won 3.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 0-110%
- 1-210%
- 0-28%
- 1-07%
Willem II form
- Lat PSV0-72026-10-31
- Lvs Cambuur1-62026-10-24
- Lat Sparta Rotterdam2-32026-10-17
- Lat Utrecht1-32026-10-11
- Lvs Fortuna Sittard0-12026-09-19
PEC Zwolle form
- Wvs ADO Den Haag1-02026-11-01
- Dat Utrecht1-12026-10-24
- Wvs Go Ahead Eagles4-12026-10-18
- Lvs Cambuur0-12026-10-11
- Lat Groningen0-32026-09-18
Head to head
- 2025-05-14Willem II 1-2 PEC Zwolle
- 2024-12-13PEC Zwolle 0-1 Willem II
- 2022-01-14PEC Zwolle 2-0 Willem II
- 2021-08-28Willem II 1-0 PEC Zwolle
- 2021-01-22Willem II 1-3 PEC Zwolle
Prediction made 2026-11-06 18:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.