Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

West Bromwich Albion vs Millwall prediction

England · Championship · 07 November 2026

3 - 0Full time
Millwall13th · 18 pts
West Bromwich AlbionDrawMillwall
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: West Bromwich Albion to win (44%)
Our predictionWest Bromwich Albion to winOpen game
44%Probability
2.29Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.25-0.99Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • West Bromwich Albion44%2.29
  • Draw29%3.45
  • Millwall27%3.67

Double chance

  • West Bromwich Albion or draw73%1.37
  • West Bromwich Albion or Millwall71%1.41
  • Draw or Millwall56%1.78

Goals

  • Over 2.539%2.57
  • Under 2.561%1.64

Both teams to score

  • Yes45%2.24
  • No55%1.81

Match in numbers

This season, West Bromwich Albion at home and Millwall away

West Bromwich Albion (home)Millwall (away)
Matches77
Points per game1.711.00
Goals scored per game1.431.14
Goals conceded per game1.002.14
Shots on target per game4.22.9
Shots on target conceded3.04.3
Clean sheets14%29%
Over 2.5 goals29%71%
Both teams scored71%57%
  • West Bromwich Albion are unbeaten in 5 league matches.
  • West Bromwich Albion: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 2nd in the league.
  • Millwall: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 6th in the league.
  • Our predictions for West Bromwich Albion matches: 1 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Millwall matches: 3 of 4 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 44% for West Bromwich Albion, 29% for the draw and 27% for Millwall.

At home this season West Bromwich Albion average 1.71 points and 1.4 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Millwall take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.1 and conceding 2.1. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.2 per game for West Bromwich Albion at home and 2.9 for Millwall on the road.

Current runs: West Bromwich Albion are unbeaten in 5 league matches.

Millwall sit 13th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 8th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 1.25 goals from West Bromwich Albion and 0.99 from Millwall; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14%, over 2.5 goals 39% and both teams to score 45%.

In their last 5 league meetings Millwall won 1 and 4 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 1-113%
  • 0-111%
  • 0-010%
  • 2-08%

West Bromwich Albion form

WWDWD
  • Dvs Southampton1-12026-11-03
  • Wat West Ham United3-12026-10-31
  • Dat Preston North End1-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Blackburn Rovers3-22026-10-17
  • Wat Wrexham2-12026-10-13

Millwall form

LDLWL
  • Lat Birmingham City0-32026-11-03
  • Wvs Derby County4-12026-10-31
  • Lat Portsmouth1-22026-10-24
  • Dvs Lincoln City2-22026-10-17
  • Lvs Swansea City0-12026-10-13

Head to head

  • 2026-04-10West Bromwich Albion 0-0 Millwall
  • 2025-10-04Millwall 3-0 West Bromwich Albion
  • 2025-02-15Millwall 1-1 West Bromwich Albion
  • 2024-10-05West Bromwich Albion 0-0 Millwall
  • 2024-03-29Millwall 1-1 West Bromwich Albion

Prediction made 2026-11-07 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.