Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim prediction

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Werder Bremen 41%, draw 25%, Hoffenheim 34%.

At home this season Werder Bremen average 2.33 points and 2.7 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home Hoffenheim take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.3. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Werder Bremen manage 9.7 per home game and Hoffenheim 4.7 per away game.

Form lines: Werder Bremen are unbeaten in 5 league matches; Hoffenheim have scored in 6 straight league matches.

Hoffenheim sit 13th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 7th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

Expected goals from the model: Werder Bremen 1.76, Hoffenheim 1.55. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 64%.

In their last 5 league meetings Werder Bremen won 1 and Hoffenheim won 4.

Most likely scores

• 1-110%
• 2-19%
• 1-28%
• 2-27%
• 1-07%

Werder Bremen form

• Dvs Paderborn2-22026-10-17
• Dat Borussia Dortmund2-22026-10-09
• Wvs Augsburg3-22026-09-19
• Dat Köln1-12026-09-12
• Wvs RB Leipzig3-12026-09-05

Hoffenheim form

• Wat Borussia M'gladbach2-12026-10-18
• Lvs Hamburger SV2-32026-10-10
• Lat Paderborn1-32026-09-20
• Wvs Stuttgart2-12026-09-12
• Lvs Borussia Dortmund2-32026-09-05