Villarreal vs Getafe prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Villarreal62%1.61
- Draw24%4.15
- Getafe14%7.36
Double chance
- Villarreal or draw86%1.16
- Villarreal or Getafe76%1.32
- Draw or Getafe38%2.65
Goals
- Over 2.541%2.46
- Under 2.559%1.68
Both teams to score
- Yes39%2.53
- No61%1.65
Match in numbers
This season, Villarreal at home and Getafe away
| Villarreal (home) | Getafe (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Shots on target per game | 6.2 | 1.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 0% |
- Villarreal: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 5th and their defence 4th in the league.
- Getafe: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 20th and their defence 5th in the league.
- Our predictions for Villarreal matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Getafe matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
On the numbers this is Villarreal's match to lose. The model gives them 62%, with the draw at 24% and Getafe at 14%.
At home this season Villarreal average 0.80 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home Getafe take 0.00 points per game, scoring 0.0 and conceding 2.4. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.2 per game for Villarreal at home and 1.4 for Getafe on the road.
Villarreal sit 11th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 4th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.63 goals from Villarreal and 0.68 from Getafe; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16%, over 2.5 goals 41% and both teams to score 39%.
In their last 5 league meetings Villarreal won 2, Getafe won 1 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-016%
- 2-013%
- 1-111%
- 0-010%
- 2-19%
Villarreal form
- Lvs Espanyol0-12026-10-30
- Wat Valencia2-12026-10-24
- Dvs Elche0-02026-10-17
- Lat Real Madrid0-12026-10-10
- Wvs Levante3-12026-09-20
Getafe form
- Wvs Sevilla3-12026-11-01
- Lat Athletic Club0-42026-10-25
- Dvs Rayo Vallecano1-12026-10-19
- Lat Barcelona0-32026-10-10
- Wvs Málaga1-02026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-02-14Getafe 2-1 Villarreal
- 2025-12-06Villarreal 2-0 Getafe
- 2025-03-30Getafe 1-2 Villarreal
- 2024-10-20Villarreal 1-1 Getafe
- 2024-02-16Villarreal 1-1 Getafe
Prediction made 2026-11-08 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.