Villarreal vs Espanyol prediction

Spain · La Liga · 30 October 2026

Villarreal12th · 9 pts
Fri 30 Oct
Espanyol16th · 8 pts
VillarrealDrawEspanyol
Our predictionVillarreal to winStrong pick
67%Probability
1.48Fair odds
2-0Likely score
2.05-0.89Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Villarreal67%1.48
  • Draw20%5.09
  • Espanyol13%7.70

Double chance

  • Villarreal or draw87%1.15
  • Villarreal or Espanyol80%1.24
  • Draw or Espanyol33%3.06

Goals

  • Over 2.556%1.78
  • Under 2.544%2.29

Both teams to score

  • Yes51%1.96
  • No49%2.04

Match preview

The model makes Villarreal clear favourites, with a 67% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 20% and a win for Espanyol at 13%.

Expected goals from the model: Villarreal 2.05, Espanyol 0.89. The single most likely score is 2-0 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.

Villarreal have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DLWWL).

Espanyol have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LDLLW).

In the table Villarreal are 12th with 9 points and Espanyol 16th with 8.

In their last 5 league meetings Villarreal won 5, Espanyol won 0 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-011%
  • 1-011%
  • 2-110%
  • 1-19%
  • 3-08%

Villarreal form

LWWLD
  • Dvs Elche0-02026-10-17
  • Lat Real Madrid0-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Levante3-12026-09-20
  • Wat Málaga3-12026-09-17
  • Lvs Real Betis1-22026-09-14

Espanyol form

WLLDL
  • Lvs Atletico Madrid0-12026-10-17
  • Dat Málaga1-12026-10-09
  • Lvs Elche1-32026-09-18
  • Lat Rayo Vallecano1-22026-09-15
  • Wat Osasuna2-02026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-02-09Villarreal 4-1 Espanyol
  • 2025-11-08Espanyol 0-2 Villarreal
  • 2025-04-27Villarreal 1-0 Espanyol
  • 2024-09-26Espanyol 1-2 Villarreal
  • 2023-04-27Villarreal 4-2 Espanyol

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.