Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Venezia33%3.01
- Draw27%3.66
- Udinese39%2.54
Double chance
- Venezia or draw61%1.65
- Venezia or Udinese73%1.38
- Draw or Udinese67%1.50
Goals
- Over 2.552%1.94
- Under 2.548%2.07
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.81
- No45%2.24
Match in numbers
This season, Venezia at home and Udinese away
| Venezia (home) | Udinese (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.60 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.00 | 2.25 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.8 | 4.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.8 | 5.8 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 75% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 75% |
- Venezia have lost their last 3 league matches.
- Udinese have gone 8 league matches without a win.
- Venezia: 20th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 17th in the league.
- Udinese: 19th in the table; the model rates their attack 14th and their defence 16th in the league.
- Our predictions for Venezia matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Udinese matches: 2 of 4 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Venezia 33%, draw 27%, Udinese 39%.
At home this season Venezia average 0.60 points and 0.6 goals per game, conceding 2.0. Away from home Udinese take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Venezia manage 4.8 per home game and Udinese 4.0 per away game.
Form lines: Venezia have lost their last 3 league matches; Udinese have gone 8 league matches without a win.
Udinese sit 19th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 12th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Expected goals from the model: Venezia 1.33, Udinese 1.41. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 52%.
In their last 4 league meetings Venezia won 1 and Udinese won 3.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-19%
- 1-09%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
Venezia form
- Lat Como0-12026-11-01
- Lvs Inter Milan0-22026-10-28
- Lat Genoa0-12026-10-25
- Wvs Napoli1-02026-10-17
- Lat Atalanta1-32026-10-12
Udinese form
- Lvs Roma2-52026-10-31
- Dat Parma0-02026-10-28
- Lvs AC Milan0-22026-10-25
- Lvs Lecce0-32026-10-18
- Lat Torino1-22026-10-12
Head to head
- 2025-02-01Udinese 3-2 Venezia
- 2024-10-30Venezia 3-2 Udinese
- 2022-04-10Venezia 1-2 Udinese
- 2021-08-27Udinese 3-0 Venezia
Prediction made 2026-11-06 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.