PafosPrediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Twente to win (67%)
Our predictionTwente to winStrong pick
67%Probability
1.50Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.85-1.07Expected goals
European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record.
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Twente67%1.50
- Draw19%5.33
- Pafos15%6.87
Double chance
- Twente or draw85%1.17
- Twente or Pafos81%1.23
- Draw or Pafos33%3.00
Goals
- Over 2.556%1.79
- Under 2.544%2.27
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.81
- No45%2.23
Match preview
Twente go in as strong favourites: 67% to win, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Pafos.
Form lines: Twente have scored in 10 straight league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Twente 1.85, Pafos 1.07. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-010%
- 2-110%
- 2-09%
- 3-16%
Twente form
WLWWW
- Wat Excelsior9-02026-11-01
- Wat AZ2-02026-10-25
- Wat Lincoln Red Imps4-12026-10-22
- Lvs Utrecht1-22026-10-18
- Wvs FC Thun1-02026-10-15
Pafos form
DDWLD
- Dvs Riga1-12026-10-22
- Lat Atalanta1-32026-10-15
- Wvs Dinamo City4-22026-08-27
- Dat Dinamo City1-12026-08-20
- Dvs Red Bull Salzburg3-32026-08-13
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
Prediction made 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.