Troyes vs Le Mans prediction
Troyes17th · 4 pts
Le Mans16th · 6 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Troyes29%3.40
- Draw27%3.76
- Le Mans44%2.27
Double chance
- Troyes or draw56%1.79
- Troyes or Le Mans73%1.36
- Draw or Le Mans71%1.42
Goals
- Over 2.551%1.95
- Under 2.549%2.05
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.82
- No45%2.22
Match in numbers
This season, Troyes at home and Le Mans away
| Troyes (home) | Le Mans (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Points per game | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.75 | 1.33 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.75 | 2.33 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.5 | 5.0 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
- Troyes have lost their last 5 league matches.
- Troyes: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 17th in the league.
- Le Mans: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 16th in the league.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 29% for Troyes, 27% for the draw and 44% for Le Mans.
At home this season Troyes average 0.25 points and 0.8 goals per game, conceding 2.8. Away from home Le Mans take 0.33 points per game, scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.3. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.0 per game for Troyes at home and 4.0 for Le Mans on the road.
Current runs: Troyes have lost their last 5 league matches.
The model expects 1.26 goals from Troyes and 1.46 from Le Mans; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 51% and both teams to score 55%.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 0-110%
- 1-29%
- 1-09%
- 2-18%
Troyes form
- Lvs Lens1-32026-10-17
- Lvs Marseille0-22026-10-11
- Lat Angers SCO0-22026-09-19
- Lat Lille0-22026-09-13
- Lvs Strasbourg2-62026-09-06
Le Mans form
- Lvs Toulouse0-32026-10-16
- Lat PSG1-32026-10-10
- Wvs Lorient2-12026-09-19
- Dvs Lens2-22026-09-13
- Dat Nice1-12026-09-05
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
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Lens
Paris FC
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Lille
Toulouse
Troyes
Angers SCO
Lorient
Auxerre
Le Mans
Marseille
Le HavrePrediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.