Marseille vs Le Havre prediction
Marseille9th · 9 pts
Le Havre18th · 2 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Marseille66%1.51
- Draw19%5.16
- Le Havre14%6.91
Double chance
- Marseille or draw86%1.17
- Marseille or Le Havre81%1.24
- Draw or Le Havre34%2.95
Goals
- Over 2.557%1.76
- Under 2.543%2.31
Both teams to score
- Yes54%1.86
- No46%2.16
Match preview
The model makes Marseille clear favourites, with a 66% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 19% and a win for Le Havre at 14%.
Expected goals from the model: Marseille 1.98, Le Havre 0.98. The single most likely score is 1-0 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 57%.
Marseille have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WWLLL).
Le Havre have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLLDL).
In the table Marseille are 9th with 9 points and Le Havre 18th with 2.
In their last 5 league meetings Marseille won 5, Le Havre won 0 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-010%
- 2-010%
- 2-110%
- 1-110%
- 3-07%
Marseille form
- Wat Angers SCO5-22026-10-18
- Wat Troyes2-02026-10-11
- Lvs PSG1-22026-09-20
- Lat Rennes0-12026-09-11
- Lvs Paris FC2-32026-09-06
Le Havre form
- Lvs Auxerre1-32026-10-18
- Lat Lille0-12026-10-10
- Lat Toulouse2-32026-09-19
- Dvs Angers SCO0-02026-09-12
- Lvs Brest1-22026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-05-10Le Havre 0-1 Marseille
- 2025-10-18Marseille 6-2 Le Havre
- 2025-05-10Le Havre 1-3 Marseille
- 2025-01-05Marseille 5-1 Le Havre
- 2024-05-19Le Havre 1-2 Marseille
More Ligue 1 predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.