Lens vs Paris FC prediction

France · Ligue 1 · 24 October 2026

Lens8th · 10 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Paris FC3rd · 14 pts
LensDrawParis FC
Our predictionLens to winLean
51%Probability
1.97Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.66-1.15Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Lens51%1.97
  • Draw25%3.96
  • Paris FC24%4.15

Double chance

  • Lens or draw76%1.32
  • Lens or Paris FC75%1.34
  • Draw or Paris FC49%2.03

Goals

  • Over 2.553%1.88
  • Under 2.547%2.13

Both teams to score

  • Yes55%1.82
  • No45%2.22

Match preview

Lens have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Paris FC at 24%.

Expected goals from the model: Lens 1.66, Paris FC 1.15. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.

Lens have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWLDL).

Paris FC have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWDW).

In the table Lens are 8th with 10 points and Paris FC 3rd with 14.

In their last 2 league meetings Lens won 2, Paris FC won 0 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 2-110%
  • 2-08%
  • 0-17%

Lens form

LDLWW
  • Wat Troyes3-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2-12026-10-09
  • Lat Monaco1-22026-09-18
  • Dat Le Mans2-22026-09-13
  • Lvs Lorient0-12026-09-05

Paris FC form

WDWLW
  • Wvs Rennes4-32026-10-18
  • Lat Lorient0-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Strasbourg2-12026-09-19
  • Dvs Olympique Lyonnais0-02026-09-12
  • Wat Marseille3-22026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-02-14Paris FC 0-5 Lens
  • 2025-10-19Lens 2-1 Paris FC

More Ligue 1 predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.