Lens vs Paris FC prediction
Lens8th · 10 ptsSat 24 Oct
Paris FC3rd · 14 ptsLensDrawParis FC
Our predictionLens to winLean
51%Probability
1.97Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.66-1.15Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Lens51%1.97
- Draw25%3.96
- Paris FC24%4.15
Double chance
- Lens or draw76%1.32
- Lens or Paris FC75%1.34
- Draw or Paris FC49%2.03
Goals
- Over 2.553%1.88
- Under 2.547%2.13
Both teams to score
- Yes55%1.82
- No45%2.22
Match preview
Lens have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Paris FC at 24%.
Expected goals from the model: Lens 1.66, Paris FC 1.15. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 53%.
Lens have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WWLDL).
Paris FC have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLWDW).
In the table Lens are 8th with 10 points and Paris FC 3rd with 14.
In their last 2 league meetings Lens won 2, Paris FC won 0 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-010%
- 2-110%
- 2-08%
- 0-17%
Lens form
LDLWW
- Wat Troyes3-12026-10-17
- Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2-12026-10-09
- Lat Monaco1-22026-09-18
- Dat Le Mans2-22026-09-13
- Lvs Lorient0-12026-09-05
Paris FC form
WDWLW
- Wvs Rennes4-32026-10-18
- Lat Lorient0-12026-10-10
- Wvs Strasbourg2-12026-09-19
- Dvs Olympique Lyonnais0-02026-09-12
- Wat Marseille3-22026-09-06
Head to head
- 2026-02-14Paris FC 0-5 Lens
- 2025-10-19Lens 2-1 Paris FC
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.