Brest vs Nice prediction

France · Ligue 1 · 23 October 2026

Brest10th · 9 pts
Fri 23 Oct
Nice13th · 8 pts
BrestDrawNice
Our predictionBrest to winLean
48%Probability
2.06Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.57-1.13Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Brest48%2.06
  • Draw26%3.81
  • Nice25%3.95

Double chance

  • Brest or draw75%1.34
  • Brest or Nice74%1.36
  • Draw or Nice52%1.94

Goals

  • Over 2.551%1.98
  • Under 2.549%2.02

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.88
  • No47%2.14

Match preview

Brest have the edge at 48%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Nice at 25%.

Expected goals from the model: Brest 1.57, Nice 1.13. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 51%.

Brest have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (DWLLW).

Nice have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWWLD).

In the table Brest are 10th with 9 points and Nice 13th with 8.

In their last 5 league meetings Brest won 1, Nice won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-08%
  • 0-18%

Brest form

WLLWD
  • Dat Lille1-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Angers SCO5-12026-10-10
  • Lat Auxerre1-22026-09-20
  • Lvs PSG0-12026-09-13
  • Wat Le Havre2-12026-09-05

Nice form

DLWWL
  • Lat Olympique Lyonnais1-22026-10-18
  • Wvs Strasbourg2-12026-10-11
  • Wvs Lille2-12026-09-20
  • Lat Auxerre0-12026-09-12
  • Dvs Le Mans1-12026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-02-01Nice 2-2 Brest
  • 2025-09-20Brest 4-1 Nice
  • 2025-05-17Nice 6-0 Brest
  • 2024-11-02Brest 0-1 Nice
  • 2024-02-04Brest 0-0 Nice

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.