Auxerre vs Le Mans prediction
Auxerre12th · 9 ptsSun 25 Oct
Le Mans16th · 6 ptsAuxerreDrawLe Mans
Our predictionAuxerre to winLean
47%Probability
2.12Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.69-1.38Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Auxerre47%2.12
- Draw25%4.07
- Le Mans28%3.55
Double chance
- Auxerre or draw72%1.39
- Auxerre or Le Mans75%1.33
- Draw or Le Mans53%1.90
Goals
- Over 2.559%1.69
- Under 2.541%2.45
Both teams to score
- Yes61%1.65
- No39%2.55
Match preview
Auxerre have the edge at 47%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Le Mans at 28%.
Expected goals from the model: Auxerre 1.69, Le Mans 1.38. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 59%.
Auxerre have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLWWL).
Le Mans have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LLWDD).
In the table Auxerre are 12th with 9 points and Le Mans 16th with 6.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-08%
- 1-27%
- 2-07%
Auxerre form
LWWLW
- Wat Le Havre3-12026-10-18
- Lat Rennes1-42026-10-11
- Wvs Brest2-12026-09-20
- Wvs Nice1-02026-09-12
- Lat Olympique Lyonnais1-32026-09-04
Le Mans form
DDWLL
- Lvs Toulouse0-32026-10-16
- Lat PSG1-32026-10-10
- Wvs Lorient2-12026-09-19
- Dvs Lens2-22026-09-13
- Dat Nice1-12026-09-05
Head to head
- No meetings in our data since 2020.
More Ligue 1 predictions
All matches ›BrestMatch result
48%
2.06Fair odds
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LensMatch result
51%
1.97Fair odds
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MonacoMatch result
43%
2.35Fair odds
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ToulouseMatch result
71%
1.40Fair odds
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LorientMatch result
47%
2.11Fair odds
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MarseilleMatch result
66%
1.51Fair odds
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.