Auxerre vs Le Mans prediction

France · Ligue 1 · 25 October 2026

Auxerre12th · 9 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Le Mans16th · 6 pts
AuxerreDrawLe Mans
Our predictionAuxerre to winLean
47%Probability
2.12Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.69-1.38Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Auxerre47%2.12
  • Draw25%4.07
  • Le Mans28%3.55

Double chance

  • Auxerre or draw72%1.39
  • Auxerre or Le Mans75%1.33
  • Draw or Le Mans53%1.90

Goals

  • Over 2.559%1.69
  • Under 2.541%2.45

Both teams to score

  • Yes61%1.65
  • No39%2.55

Match preview

Auxerre have the edge at 47%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 25% and a win for Le Mans at 28%.

Expected goals from the model: Auxerre 1.69, Le Mans 1.38. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 59%.

Auxerre have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (WLWWL).

Le Mans have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LLWDD).

In the table Auxerre are 12th with 9 points and Le Mans 16th with 6.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-08%
  • 1-27%
  • 2-07%

Auxerre form

LWWLW
  • Wat Le Havre3-12026-10-18
  • Lat Rennes1-42026-10-11
  • Wvs Brest2-12026-09-20
  • Wvs Nice1-02026-09-12
  • Lat Olympique Lyonnais1-32026-09-04

Le Mans form

DDWLL
  • Lvs Toulouse0-32026-10-16
  • Lat PSG1-32026-10-10
  • Wvs Lorient2-12026-09-19
  • Dvs Lens2-22026-09-13
  • Dat Nice1-12026-09-05

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.