Monaco vs Lille prediction
Monaco5th · 14 ptsSun 25 Oct
Lille4th · 14 ptsMonacoDrawLille
Our predictionMonaco to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.35Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.38-1.15Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Monaco43%2.35
- Draw28%3.57
- Lille29%3.40
Double chance
- Monaco or draw71%1.42
- Monaco or Lille72%1.39
- Draw or Lille57%1.74
Goals
- Over 2.546%2.16
- Under 2.554%1.86
Both teams to score
- Yes51%1.97
- No49%2.04
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Monaco 43%, draw 28%, Lille 29%.
Expected goals from the model: Monaco 1.38, Lille 1.15. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 46%.
Monaco have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (LDWDW).
Lille have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWLWW).
In the table Monaco are 5th with 14 points and Lille 4th with 14.
In their last 5 league meetings Monaco won 1, Lille won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-011%
- 0-19%
- 2-19%
- 0-08%
Monaco form
WDWDL
- Lat Lorient0-12026-10-18
- Dvs Toulouse2-22026-10-10
- Wvs Lens2-12026-09-18
- Dat Strasbourg1-12026-09-12
- Wat PSG2-12026-09-04
Lille form
WWLWD
- Dvs Brest1-12026-10-17
- Wvs Le Havre1-02026-10-10
- Lat Nice1-22026-09-20
- Wvs Troyes2-02026-09-13
- Wat Toulouse1-02026-09-03
Head to head
- 2026-05-10Monaco 0-1 Lille
- 2025-08-24Lille 1-0 Monaco
- 2025-02-22Lille 2-1 Monaco
- 2024-10-18Monaco 0-0 Lille
- 2024-04-24Monaco 1-0 Lille
More Ligue 1 predictions
All matches ›BrestMatch result
48%
2.06Fair odds
Analysis
LensMatch result
51%
1.97Fair odds
Analysis
ToulouseMatch result
71%
1.40Fair odds
Analysis
LorientMatch result
47%
2.11Fair odds
Analysis
AuxerreMatch result
47%
2.12Fair odds
Analysis
MarseilleMatch result
66%
1.51Fair odds
Analysis
Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.