Toulouse vs Troyes prediction
Toulouse11th · 9 pts
Troyes17th · 4 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Toulouse71%1.40
- Draw18%5.69
- Troyes11%9.04
Double chance
- Toulouse or draw89%1.12
- Toulouse or Troyes82%1.21
- Draw or Troyes29%3.49
Goals
- Over 2.552%1.94
- Under 2.548%2.06
Both teams to score
- Yes48%2.09
- No52%1.91
Match preview
The model makes Toulouse clear favourites, with a 71% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 18% and a win for Troyes at 11%.
Expected goals from the model: Toulouse 1.91, Troyes 0.83. The single most likely score is 1-0 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 52%.
Toulouse have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WDWDL).
Troyes have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLL).
In the table Toulouse are 11th with 9 points and Troyes 17th with 4.
In their last 2 league meetings Toulouse won 2, Troyes won 0 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 2-012%
- 1-110%
- 2-110%
- 3-07%
Toulouse form
- Wat Le Mans3-02026-10-16
- Dat Monaco2-22026-10-10
- Wvs Le Havre3-22026-09-19
- Dat Lorient2-22026-09-12
- Lvs Lille0-12026-09-03
Troyes form
- Lvs Lens1-32026-10-17
- Lvs Marseille0-22026-10-11
- Lat Angers SCO0-22026-09-19
- Lat Lille0-22026-09-13
- Lvs Strasbourg2-62026-09-06
Head to head
- 2023-02-01Toulouse 4-1 Troyes
- 2022-08-14Troyes 0-3 Toulouse
More Ligue 1 predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.