Toulouse vs Strasbourg prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Toulouse47%2.13
- Draw25%3.93
- Strasbourg28%3.61
Double chance
- Toulouse or draw72%1.38
- Toulouse or Strasbourg75%1.34
- Draw or Strasbourg53%1.88
Goals
- Over 2.559%1.70
- Under 2.541%2.43
Both teams to score
- Yes60%1.68
- No40%2.48
Match in numbers
This season, Toulouse at home and Strasbourg away
| Toulouse (home) | Strasbourg (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.75 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.25 | 2.60 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.0 | 4.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.0 | 6.4 |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 60% |
- Toulouse: 12th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 8th in the league.
- Strasbourg: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 6th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Our predictions for Toulouse matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Strasbourg matches: 3 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Toulouse (47%), though Strasbourg win 28% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 25%.
At home this season Toulouse average 1.00 points and 0.8 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Strasbourg take 0.60 points per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.0 per game for Toulouse at home and 4.4 for Strasbourg on the road.
The model expects 1.78 goals from Toulouse and 1.28 from Strasbourg; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 10%, over 2.5 goals 59% and both teams to score 60%.
In their last 5 league meetings Toulouse won 2, Strasbourg won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
- 2-07%
- 1-27%
Toulouse form
- Lat Marseille0-22026-11-01
- Dvs Troyes0-02026-10-25
- Wat Le Mans3-02026-10-16
- Dat Monaco2-22026-10-10
- Wvs Le Havre3-22026-09-19
Strasbourg form
- Wvs Auxerre5-12026-11-01
- Lat Rennes0-32026-10-25
- Lvs PSG1-32026-10-17
- Lat Nice1-22026-10-11
- Lat Paris FC1-22026-09-19
Head to head
- 2026-05-03Strasbourg 1-2 Toulouse
- 2025-12-06Toulouse 1-0 Strasbourg
- 2025-03-16Strasbourg 2-1 Toulouse
- 2025-01-12Toulouse 1-2 Strasbourg
- 2024-04-07Toulouse 0-0 Strasbourg
Prediction made 2026-11-06 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.