Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Torreense vs Ararat-Armenia prediction

Europe · Europa League · 05 November 2026

Torreense
3 - 2Full time
Ararat-Armenia
TorreenseDrawArarat-Armenia
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Torreense to win (50%)
Our predictionTorreense to winLean
50%Probability
2.01Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.35-1.33Expected goals

European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record. One of these teams has fewer than 30 matches in our data, so treat this rating with extra care.

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Torreense50%2.01
  • Draw24%4.15
  • Ararat-Armenia26%3.82

Double chance

  • Torreense or draw74%1.35
  • Torreense or Ararat-Armenia76%1.32
  • Draw or Ararat-Armenia50%1.99

Goals

  • Over 2.571%1.41
  • Under 2.529%3.46

Both teams to score

  • Yes66%1.51
  • No34%2.97

Match preview

Torreense have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Ararat-Armenia at 26%.

Expected goals from the model: Torreense 2.35, Ararat-Armenia 1.33. The single most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 71%.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 1-18%
  • 3-17%
  • 2-07%
  • 2-26%

Torreense form

WLL
  • Lat Ferencváros1-42026-10-22
  • Lvs Sunderland1-22026-10-15
  • Wat Lillestrøm2-12026-09-17

Ararat-Armenia form

DWLLL
  • Lvs AZ0-42026-10-22
  • Lat Jagiellonia Białystok1-32026-10-15
  • Lvs Sparta Prague1-42026-09-16
  • Wvs Universitatea Craiova1-02026-08-27
  • Dat Universitatea Craiova1-12026-08-20

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.