Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Torino vs Lecce prediction

Italy · Serie A · 07 November 2026

Torino10th · 13 pts
1 - 1Full time
Lecce14th · 9 pts
TorinoDrawLecce
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Torino to win (50%)
Our predictionTorino to winLean
50%Probability
2.02Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.44-1.07Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Torino50%2.02
  • Draw26%3.83
  • Lecce24%4.12

Double chance

  • Torino or draw76%1.32
  • Torino or Lecce74%1.35
  • Draw or Lecce50%1.98

Goals

  • Over 2.546%2.18
  • Under 2.554%1.85

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%2.01
  • No50%1.99

Match in numbers

This season, Torino at home and Lecce away

Torino (home)Lecce (away)
Matches55
Points per game1.201.20
Goals scored per game1.401.20
Goals conceded per game2.001.80
Shots on target per game4.05.6
Shots on target conceded3.66.2
Clean sheets0%40%
Over 2.5 goals80%60%
Both teams scored80%20%
  • Lecce have lost their last 3 league matches.
  • Torino: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 12th in the league.
  • Lecce: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 19th and their defence 14th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Torino matches: 3 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Lecce matches: 3 of 4 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Torino (50%), though Lecce win 24% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 26%.

At home this season Torino average 1.20 points and 1.4 goals per game, conceding 2.0. Away from home Lecce take 1.20 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.0 per game for Torino at home and 5.6 for Lecce on the road.

Current runs: Lecce have lost their last 3 league matches.

The model expects 1.44 goals from Torino and 1.07 from Lecce; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 46% and both teams to score 50%.

In their last 5 league meetings Torino won 2, Lecce won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-012%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-08%

Torino form

WWWLL
  • Lat Frosinone0-22026-11-01
  • Lvs Como1-32026-10-27
  • Wvs Monza3-22026-10-23
  • Wat Parma3-02026-10-19
  • Wvs Udinese2-12026-10-12

Lecce form

LWLLL
  • Lvs Genoa1-22026-11-01
  • Lat Frosinone1-52026-10-29
  • Lvs Juventus0-22026-10-25
  • Wat Udinese3-02026-10-18
  • Lvs Bologna1-22026-10-11

Head to head

  • 2026-02-01Torino 1-0 Lecce
  • 2025-11-30Lecce 2-1 Torino
  • 2025-05-18Lecce 1-0 Torino
  • 2024-09-15Torino 0-0 Lecce
  • 2024-02-16Torino 2-0 Lecce

Prediction made 2026-11-07 13:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.