Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Telstar32%3.14
- Draw24%4.17
- Utrecht44%2.27
Double chance
- Telstar or draw56%1.79
- Telstar or Utrecht76%1.32
- Draw or Utrecht68%1.47
Goals
- Over 2.565%1.54
- Under 2.535%2.86
Both teams to score
- Yes66%1.52
- No34%2.91
Match in numbers
This season, Telstar at home and Utrecht away
| Telstar (home) | Utrecht (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded per game | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.0 | 4.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 6.8 | 6.2 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 80% |
- Telstar have gone 9 league matches without a win.
- Telstar: 16th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 16th in the league.
- Utrecht: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 11th in the league.
- Our predictions for Telstar matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Utrecht matches: 0 of 3 correct.
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Telstar 32%, draw 24%, Utrecht 44%.
At home this season Telstar average 0.40 points and 1.6 goals per game, conceding 3.0. Away from home Utrecht take 1.40 points per game, scoring 1.6 and conceding 2.4. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Telstar manage 4.0 per home game and Utrecht 4.8 per away game.
Form lines: Telstar have gone 9 league matches without a win.
Expected goals from the model: Telstar 1.58, Utrecht 1.77. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 65%.
In their last 2 league meetings Utrecht won 1 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
- 2-27%
- 0-16%
Telstar form
- Lat Go Ahead Eagles2-32026-10-23
- Lvs Feyenoord3-42026-10-17
- Dvs ADO Den Haag2-22026-10-11
- Lat AZ0-12026-09-20
- Dat Heerenveen0-02026-09-13
Utrecht form
- Dvs PEC Zwolle1-12026-10-24
- Wat Twente2-12026-10-18
- Wvs Willem II3-12026-10-11
- Lat Feyenoord0-52026-09-20
- Wat Excelsior2-12026-09-13
Head to head
- 2026-04-11Utrecht 4-1 Telstar
- 2025-11-23Telstar 1-1 Utrecht
Prediction made 2026-11-01 13:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.