Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen prediction

Germany · Bundesliga · 07 November 2026

Stuttgart13th · 9 pts
1 - 0Full time
Werder Bremen5th · 15 pts
StuttgartDrawWerder Bremen
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Stuttgart to win (62%)
Our predictionStuttgart to winStrong pick
62%Probability
1.60Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.41-1.34Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Stuttgart62%1.60
  • Draw19%5.32
  • Werder Bremen19%5.33

Double chance

  • Stuttgart or draw81%1.23
  • Stuttgart or Werder Bremen81%1.23
  • Draw or Werder Bremen38%2.66

Goals

  • Over 2.572%1.38
  • Under 2.528%3.60

Both teams to score

  • Yes67%1.49
  • No33%3.03

Match in numbers

This season, Stuttgart at home and Werder Bremen away

Stuttgart (home)Werder Bremen (away)
Matches34
Points per game1.001.25
Goals scored per game2.001.75
Goals conceded per game1.672.25
Shots on target per game6.05.0
Shots on target conceded4.37.0
Clean sheets0%0%
Over 2.5 goals67%75%
Both teams scored67%100%
  • Werder Bremen are unbeaten in 7 league matches.
  • Stuttgart: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 8th in the league.
  • Werder Bremen: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Stuttgart matches: 1 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Werder Bremen matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

The model makes Stuttgart clear favourites at 62%. The draw is rated at 19% and a win for Werder Bremen at 19%.

At home this season Stuttgart average 1.00 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home Werder Bremen take 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.0 per game for Stuttgart at home and 5.0 for Werder Bremen on the road.

Current runs: Werder Bremen are unbeaten in 7 league matches.

Stuttgart sit 13th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 4th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.

The model expects 2.41 goals from Stuttgart and 1.34 from Werder Bremen; 2-1 is the most likely scoreline at 9%, over 2.5 goals 72% and both teams to score 67%.

In their last 5 league meetings Stuttgart won 1, Werder Bremen won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 1-17%
  • 3-17%
  • 2-07%
  • 2-26%

Stuttgart form

LWLLW
  • Wat Bayer Leverkusen4-22026-10-31
  • Lvs Borussia M'gladbach2-32026-10-23
  • Lat Hamburger SV0-12026-10-17
  • Wat Paderborn2-02026-10-10
  • Lvs Borussia Dortmund0-12026-09-19

Werder Bremen form

WDDWW
  • Wvs Hoffenheim2-02026-10-31
  • Wat Mainz 053-22026-10-24
  • Dvs Paderborn2-22026-10-17
  • Dat Borussia Dortmund2-22026-10-09
  • Wvs Augsburg3-22026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-04-26Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen
  • 2025-12-14Werder Bremen 0-4 Stuttgart
  • 2025-04-13Stuttgart 1-2 Werder Bremen
  • 2024-11-30Werder Bremen 2-2 Stuttgart
  • 2024-04-21Werder Bremen 2-1 Stuttgart

Prediction made 2026-11-07 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.