Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Sturm Graz vs Celje prediction

Europe · Europa League · 05 November 2026

Sturm Graz
2 - 3Full time
Celje
Sturm GrazDrawCelje
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Sturm Graz to win (69%)
Our predictionSturm Graz to winStrong pick
69%Probability
1.45Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.92-0.98Expected goals

European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record.

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Sturm Graz69%1.45
  • Draw18%5.61
  • Celje13%7.54

Double chance

  • Sturm Graz or draw87%1.15
  • Sturm Graz or Celje82%1.22
  • Draw or Celje31%3.22

Goals

  • Over 2.555%1.80
  • Under 2.545%2.25

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.88
  • No47%2.14

Match preview

On the numbers this is Sturm Graz's match to lose. The model gives them 69%, with the draw at 18% and Celje at 13%.

The model expects 1.92 goals from Sturm Graz and 0.98 from Celje; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 55% and both teams to score 53%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-011%
  • 1-110%
  • 2-010%
  • 2-110%
  • 3-06%

Sturm Graz form

LWWDD
  • Dat Wolfsberger AC1-12026-11-01
  • Dvs Ried2-22026-10-25
  • Wvs Marseille1-02026-10-22
  • Wvs Grazer AK6-12026-10-18
  • Lat AFC Bournemouth0-32026-10-15

Celje form

DLLLD
  • Dvs Red Bull Salzburg2-22026-10-22
  • Lvs Omonia Nicosia0-32026-10-15
  • Lat Bayer Leverkusen0-22026-09-16
  • Lvs Slovan Bratislava1-22026-08-26
  • Dat Slovan Bratislava1-12026-08-19

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.