Strasbourg vs Auxerre prediction
Strasbourg14th · 7 pts
Auxerre13th · 9 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Strasbourg53%1.89
- Draw23%4.37
- Auxerre24%4.11
Double chance
- Strasbourg or draw76%1.32
- Strasbourg or Auxerre77%1.30
- Draw or Auxerre47%2.12
Goals
- Over 2.563%1.60
- Under 2.537%2.67
Both teams to score
- Yes62%1.60
- No38%2.65
Match in numbers
This season, Strasbourg at home and Auxerre away
| Strasbourg (home) | Auxerre (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.33 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.33 | 1.75 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.67 | 3.25 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.5 | 4.5 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.0 | 8.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
- Strasbourg have lost their last 3 league matches.
- Auxerre have scored in 12 straight league matches.
- Strasbourg: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Auxerre: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 14th in the league.
Match preview
Strasbourg have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Auxerre at 24%.
At home this season Strasbourg average 1.33 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home Auxerre take 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 3.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Strasbourg manage 4.5 per home game and Auxerre 4.5 per away game.
Form lines: Strasbourg have lost their last 3 league matches; Auxerre have scored in 12 straight league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Strasbourg 1.90, Auxerre 1.33. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 63%.
In their last 5 league meetings Strasbourg won 4 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-19%
- 1-08%
- 2-07%
- 1-27%
Strasbourg form
- Lvs PSG1-32026-10-17
- Lat Nice1-22026-10-11
- Lat Paris FC1-22026-09-19
- Dvs Monaco1-12026-09-12
- Wat Troyes6-22026-09-06
Auxerre form
- Wat Le Havre3-12026-10-18
- Lat Rennes1-42026-10-11
- Wvs Brest2-12026-09-20
- Wvs Nice1-02026-09-12
- Lat Olympique Lyonnais1-32026-09-04
Head to head
- 2026-03-07Auxerre 0-0 Strasbourg
- 2025-10-29Strasbourg 3-0 Auxerre
- 2025-03-02Auxerre 0-1 Strasbourg
- 2025-01-05Strasbourg 3-1 Auxerre
- 2023-03-19Strasbourg 2-0 Auxerre
More Ligue 1 predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.