Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Strasbourg vs Auxerre prediction

France · Ligue 1 · 01 November 2026

Strasbourg14th · 7 pts
Sun 01 Nov
Auxerre13th · 9 pts
StrasbourgDrawAuxerre
Our predictionStrasbourg to winLean
53%Probability
1.89Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.90-1.33Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Strasbourg53%1.89
  • Draw23%4.37
  • Auxerre24%4.11

Double chance

  • Strasbourg or draw76%1.32
  • Strasbourg or Auxerre77%1.30
  • Draw or Auxerre47%2.12

Goals

  • Over 2.563%1.60
  • Under 2.537%2.67

Both teams to score

  • Yes62%1.60
  • No38%2.65

Match in numbers

This season, Strasbourg at home and Auxerre away

Strasbourg (home)Auxerre (away)
Matches34
Points per game1.330.75
Goals scored per game1.331.75
Goals conceded per game1.673.25
Shots on target per game4.54.5
Shots on target conceded5.08.0
Clean sheets0%0%
Over 2.5 goals67%100%
Both teams scored100%100%
  • Strasbourg have lost their last 3 league matches.
  • Auxerre have scored in 12 straight league matches.
  • Strasbourg: 14th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 15th in the league.
  • Auxerre: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 14th in the league.

Match preview

Strasbourg have the edge at 53%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 23% and a win for Auxerre at 24%.

At home this season Strasbourg average 1.33 points and 1.3 goals per game, conceding 1.7. Away from home Auxerre take 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.8 and conceding 3.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Strasbourg manage 4.5 per home game and Auxerre 4.5 per away game.

Form lines: Strasbourg have lost their last 3 league matches; Auxerre have scored in 12 straight league matches.

Expected goals from the model: Strasbourg 1.90, Auxerre 1.33. The single most likely score is 1-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 63%.

In their last 5 league meetings Strasbourg won 4 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-08%
  • 2-07%
  • 1-27%

Strasbourg form

WDLLL
  • Lvs PSG1-32026-10-17
  • Lat Nice1-22026-10-11
  • Lat Paris FC1-22026-09-19
  • Dvs Monaco1-12026-09-12
  • Wat Troyes6-22026-09-06

Auxerre form

LWWLW
  • Wat Le Havre3-12026-10-18
  • Lat Rennes1-42026-10-11
  • Wvs Brest2-12026-09-20
  • Wvs Nice1-02026-09-12
  • Lat Olympique Lyonnais1-32026-09-04

Head to head

  • 2026-03-07Auxerre 0-0 Strasbourg
  • 2025-10-29Strasbourg 3-0 Auxerre
  • 2025-03-02Auxerre 0-1 Strasbourg
  • 2025-01-05Strasbourg 3-1 Auxerre
  • 2023-03-19Strasbourg 2-0 Auxerre

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.