St. Mirren vs Hibernian prediction

Scotland · Scottish Premiership · 28 October 2026

St. Mirren8th · 10 pts
Wed 28 Oct
Hibernian12th · 7 pts
St. MirrenDrawHibernian
Our predictionHibernian to winOpen game
38%Probability
2.66Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.20-1.24Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • St. Mirren34%2.98
  • Draw29%3.46
  • Hibernian38%2.66

Double chance

  • St. Mirren or draw62%1.60
  • St. Mirren or Hibernian71%1.41
  • Draw or Hibernian66%1.51

Goals

  • Over 2.544%2.26
  • Under 2.556%1.79

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%2.02
  • No50%1.98

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. St. Mirren 34%, draw 29%, Hibernian 38%.

Expected goals from the model: St. Mirren 1.20, Hibernian 1.24. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 44%.

St. Mirren have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLL).

Hibernian have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLL).

In the table St. Mirren are 8th with 10 points and Hibernian 12th with 7.

In their last 5 league meetings St. Mirren won 0, Hibernian won 2 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-08%
  • 1-28%

St. Mirren form

LLLLL
  • Lat Aberdeen1-32026-10-17
  • Lat Hearts0-52026-10-10
  • Lvs Dundee United0-32026-09-19
  • Lat Rangers0-12026-09-09
  • Lvs Celtic1-22026-09-05

Hibernian form

LLDLL
  • Lvs Falkirk1-22026-10-17
  • Lat Dundee United0-12026-10-10
  • Dvs Aberdeen1-12026-09-19
  • Lvs Kilmarnock0-12026-09-15
  • Lat St. Johnstone1-22026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-02-14Hibernian 2-0 St. Mirren
  • 2025-11-08St. Mirren 0-3 Hibernian
  • 2025-08-31Hibernian 1-1 St. Mirren
  • 2025-05-14St. Mirren 2-2 Hibernian
  • 2025-02-16St. Mirren 0-0 Hibernian

More Scottish Premiership predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.