Hibernian vs Celtic prediction

Scotland · Scottish Premiership · 25 October 2026

Hibernian12th · 7 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Celtic1st · 24 pts
HibernianDrawCeltic
Our predictionCeltic to winStrong pick
61%Probability
1.63Fair odds
1-2Likely score
1.13-1.97Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Hibernian18%5.55
  • Draw21%4.86
  • Celtic61%1.63

Double chance

  • Hibernian or draw39%2.59
  • Hibernian or Celtic79%1.26
  • Draw or Celtic82%1.22

Goals

  • Over 2.560%1.67
  • Under 2.540%2.50

Both teams to score

  • Yes58%1.72
  • No42%2.39

Match preview

The model makes Celtic clear favourites, with a 61% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 21% and a win for Hibernian at 18%.

Expected goals from the model: Hibernian 1.13, Celtic 1.97. The single most likely score is 1-2 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.

Hibernian have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLL).

Celtic have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWLWW).

In the table Hibernian are 12th with 7 points and Celtic 1st with 24.

In their last 5 league meetings Hibernian won 1, Celtic won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-210%
  • 1-110%
  • 0-19%
  • 0-29%
  • 1-36%

Hibernian form

LLDLL
  • Lvs Falkirk1-22026-10-17
  • Lat Dundee United0-12026-10-10
  • Dvs Aberdeen1-12026-09-19
  • Lvs Kilmarnock0-12026-09-15
  • Lat St. Johnstone1-22026-09-06

Celtic form

WWLWW
  • Wvs Hearts7-12026-10-18
  • Wat Motherwell2-02026-10-11
  • Lvs Rangers0-12026-09-20
  • Wat St. Johnstone1-02026-09-09
  • Wat St. Mirren2-12026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-05-03Hibernian 1-2 Celtic
  • 2026-02-22Celtic 1-2 Hibernian
  • 2025-11-30Hibernian 1-2 Celtic
  • 2025-09-27Celtic 0-0 Hibernian
  • 2025-05-10Celtic 3-1 Hibernian

More Scottish Premiership predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.