Hibernian vs Celtic prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Hibernian18%5.55
- Draw21%4.86
- Celtic61%1.63
Double chance
- Hibernian or draw39%2.59
- Hibernian or Celtic79%1.26
- Draw or Celtic82%1.22
Goals
- Over 2.560%1.67
- Under 2.540%2.50
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.72
- No42%2.39
Match preview
The model makes Celtic clear favourites, with a 61% chance of winning. A draw is rated at 21% and a win for Hibernian at 18%.
Expected goals from the model: Hibernian 1.13, Celtic 1.97. The single most likely score is 1-2 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 60%.
Hibernian have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches (LLDLL).
Celtic have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WWLWW).
In the table Hibernian are 12th with 7 points and Celtic 1st with 24.
In their last 5 league meetings Hibernian won 1, Celtic won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-210%
- 1-110%
- 0-19%
- 0-29%
- 1-36%
Hibernian form
- Lvs Falkirk1-22026-10-17
- Lat Dundee United0-12026-10-10
- Dvs Aberdeen1-12026-09-19
- Lvs Kilmarnock0-12026-09-15
- Lat St. Johnstone1-22026-09-06
Celtic form
- Wvs Hearts7-12026-10-18
- Wat Motherwell2-02026-10-11
- Lvs Rangers0-12026-09-20
- Wat St. Johnstone1-02026-09-09
- Wat St. Mirren2-12026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-05-03Hibernian 1-2 Celtic
- 2026-02-22Celtic 1-2 Hibernian
- 2025-11-30Hibernian 1-2 Celtic
- 2025-09-27Celtic 0-0 Hibernian
- 2025-05-10Celtic 3-1 Hibernian
More Scottish Premiership predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.