St. Mirren vs Dundee prediction
St. Mirren8th · 10 ptsSat 24 Oct
Dundee4th · 14 ptsSt. MirrenDrawDundee
Our predictionSt. Mirren to winOpen game
39%Probability
2.58Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.43-1.19Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- St. Mirren39%2.58
- Draw28%3.57
- Dundee33%3.01
Double chance
- St. Mirren or draw67%1.50
- St. Mirren or Dundee72%1.39
- Draw or Dundee61%1.63
Goals
- Over 2.549%2.05
- Under 2.551%1.95
Both teams to score
- Yes53%1.90
- No47%2.12
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. St. Mirren 39%, draw 28%, Dundee 33%.
Expected goals from the model: St. Mirren 1.43, Dundee 1.19. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 49%.
St. Mirren have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLL).
Dundee have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWWLD).
In the table St. Mirren are 8th with 10 points and Dundee 4th with 14.
In their last 5 league meetings St. Mirren won 1, Dundee won 3 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-011%
- 0-19%
- 2-19%
- 2-07%
St. Mirren form
LLLLL
- Lat Aberdeen1-32026-10-17
- Lat Hearts0-52026-10-10
- Lvs Dundee United0-32026-09-19
- Lat Rangers0-12026-09-09
- Lvs Celtic1-22026-09-05
Dundee form
DLWWD
- Dvs Rangers2-22026-10-17
- Wat Falkirk2-12026-10-10
- Wvs Motherwell2-12026-09-19
- Lat Hearts1-22026-09-06
- Dvs St. Johnstone1-12026-09-02
Head to head
- 2026-05-02Dundee 1-0 St. Mirren
- 2026-01-31St. Mirren 0-0 Dundee
- 2025-11-29Dundee 3-1 St. Mirren
- 2025-09-27St. Mirren 1-0 Dundee
- 2025-04-05Dundee 2-0 St. Mirren
More Scottish Premiership predictions
All matches ›Dundee UnitedMatch result
51%
1.97Fair odds
Analysis
FalkirkMatch result
47%
2.11Fair odds
Analysis
RangersMatch result
80%
1.25Fair odds
Analysis
CelticMatch result
61%
1.63Fair odds
Analysis
HeartsMatch result
43%
2.32Fair odds
Analysis
AberdeenMatch result
42%
2.39Fair odds
Analysis
Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.