St. Mirren vs Dundee prediction

Scotland · Scottish Premiership · 24 October 2026

St. Mirren8th · 10 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Dundee4th · 14 pts
St. MirrenDrawDundee
Our predictionSt. Mirren to winOpen game
39%Probability
2.58Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.43-1.19Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • St. Mirren39%2.58
  • Draw28%3.57
  • Dundee33%3.01

Double chance

  • St. Mirren or draw67%1.50
  • St. Mirren or Dundee72%1.39
  • Draw or Dundee61%1.63

Goals

  • Over 2.549%2.05
  • Under 2.551%1.95

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.90
  • No47%2.12

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. St. Mirren 39%, draw 28%, Dundee 33%.

Expected goals from the model: St. Mirren 1.43, Dundee 1.19. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 49%.

St. Mirren have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLL).

Dundee have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWWLD).

In the table St. Mirren are 8th with 10 points and Dundee 4th with 14.

In their last 5 league meetings St. Mirren won 1, Dundee won 3 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-07%

St. Mirren form

LLLLL
  • Lat Aberdeen1-32026-10-17
  • Lat Hearts0-52026-10-10
  • Lvs Dundee United0-32026-09-19
  • Lat Rangers0-12026-09-09
  • Lvs Celtic1-22026-09-05

Dundee form

DLWWD
  • Dvs Rangers2-22026-10-17
  • Wat Falkirk2-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Motherwell2-12026-09-19
  • Lat Hearts1-22026-09-06
  • Dvs St. Johnstone1-12026-09-02

Head to head

  • 2026-05-02Dundee 1-0 St. Mirren
  • 2026-01-31St. Mirren 0-0 Dundee
  • 2025-11-29Dundee 3-1 St. Mirren
  • 2025-09-27St. Mirren 1-0 Dundee
  • 2025-04-05Dundee 2-0 St. Mirren

More Scottish Premiership predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.