Aberdeen vs Falkirk prediction
Wed 28 Oct
Falkirk9th · 9 ptsAberdeenDrawFalkirk
Our predictionAberdeen to winOpen game
42%Probability
2.39Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.32-1.08Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Aberdeen42%2.39
- Draw29%3.47
- Falkirk29%3.41
Double chance
- Aberdeen or draw71%1.42
- Aberdeen or Falkirk71%1.40
- Draw or Falkirk58%1.72
Goals
- Over 2.543%2.32
- Under 2.557%1.76
Both teams to score
- Yes48%2.07
- No52%1.93
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Aberdeen 42%, draw 29%, Falkirk 29%.
Expected goals from the model: Aberdeen 1.32, Falkirk 1.08. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.
Aberdeen have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWD).
Falkirk have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWD).
In the table Aberdeen are 7th with 11 points and Falkirk 9th with 9.
In their last 3 league meetings Aberdeen won 0, Falkirk won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-012%
- 0-110%
- 0-09%
- 2-19%
Aberdeen form
DWDLW
- Wvs St. Mirren3-12026-10-17
- Lvs St. Johnstone0-12026-10-11
- Dat Hibernian1-12026-09-19
- Wat Motherwell4-02026-09-15
- Dvs Kilmarnock0-02026-09-05
Falkirk form
DWDLW
- Wat Hibernian2-12026-10-17
- Lvs Dundee1-22026-10-10
- Dat St. Johnstone1-12026-09-19
- Wvs Hearts2-12026-09-15
- Dat Dundee United1-12026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-03-14Aberdeen 1-1 Falkirk
- 2026-01-03Falkirk 1-0 Aberdeen
- 2025-08-31Aberdeen 0-1 Falkirk
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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.