Aberdeen vs Falkirk prediction

Scotland · Scottish Premiership · 28 October 2026

Aberdeen7th · 11 pts
Wed 28 Oct
Falkirk9th · 9 pts
AberdeenDrawFalkirk
Our predictionAberdeen to winOpen game
42%Probability
2.39Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.32-1.08Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Aberdeen42%2.39
  • Draw29%3.47
  • Falkirk29%3.41

Double chance

  • Aberdeen or draw71%1.42
  • Aberdeen or Falkirk71%1.40
  • Draw or Falkirk58%1.72

Goals

  • Over 2.543%2.32
  • Under 2.557%1.76

Both teams to score

  • Yes48%2.07
  • No52%1.93

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Aberdeen 42%, draw 29%, Falkirk 29%.

Expected goals from the model: Aberdeen 1.32, Falkirk 1.08. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.

Aberdeen have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWD).

Falkirk have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWD).

In the table Aberdeen are 7th with 11 points and Falkirk 9th with 9.

In their last 3 league meetings Aberdeen won 0, Falkirk won 2 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 1-012%
  • 0-110%
  • 0-09%
  • 2-19%

Aberdeen form

DWDLW
  • Wvs St. Mirren3-12026-10-17
  • Lvs St. Johnstone0-12026-10-11
  • Dat Hibernian1-12026-09-19
  • Wat Motherwell4-02026-09-15
  • Dvs Kilmarnock0-02026-09-05

Falkirk form

DWDLW
  • Wat Hibernian2-12026-10-17
  • Lvs Dundee1-22026-10-10
  • Dat St. Johnstone1-12026-09-19
  • Wvs Hearts2-12026-09-15
  • Dat Dundee United1-12026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-03-14Aberdeen 1-1 Falkirk
  • 2026-01-03Falkirk 1-0 Aberdeen
  • 2025-08-31Aberdeen 0-1 Falkirk

More Scottish Premiership predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.