Falkirk vs Kilmarnock prediction
Falkirk9th · 9 pts
Kilmarnock11th · 8 ptsBetting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Falkirk47%2.11
- Draw26%3.91
- Kilmarnock27%3.71
Double chance
- Falkirk or draw73%1.37
- Falkirk or Kilmarnock74%1.34
- Draw or Kilmarnock53%1.90
Goals
- Over 2.555%1.83
- Under 2.545%2.20
Both teams to score
- Yes57%1.76
- No43%2.32
Match preview
Falkirk have the edge at 47%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Kilmarnock at 27%.
Expected goals from the model: Falkirk 1.62, Kilmarnock 1.24. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 55%.
Falkirk have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWD).
Kilmarnock have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWD).
In the table Falkirk are 9th with 9 points and Kilmarnock 11th with 8.
In their last 3 league meetings Falkirk won 3, Kilmarnock won 0 and 0 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-09%
- 2-19%
- 2-07%
- 0-17%
Falkirk form
- Wat Hibernian2-12026-10-17
- Lvs Dundee1-22026-10-10
- Dat St. Johnstone1-12026-09-19
- Wvs Hearts2-12026-09-15
- Dat Dundee United1-12026-09-05
Kilmarnock form
- Wvs Motherwell3-22026-10-17
- Lat Rangers1-32026-10-10
- Dvs Hearts1-12026-09-19
- Wat Hibernian1-02026-09-15
- Dat Aberdeen0-02026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-02-28Falkirk 5-1 Kilmarnock
- 2025-12-20Kilmarnock 0-1 Falkirk
- 2025-11-01Falkirk 3-1 Kilmarnock
More Scottish Premiership predictions
All matches ›Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.