Motherwell vs Hearts prediction

Scotland · Scottish Premiership · 25 October 2026

Motherwell10th · 8 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Hearts3rd · 16 pts
MotherwellDrawHearts
Our predictionHearts to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.32Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.37-1.54Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Motherwell31%3.24
  • Draw26%3.84
  • Hearts43%2.32

Double chance

  • Motherwell or draw57%1.76
  • Motherwell or Hearts74%1.35
  • Draw or Hearts69%1.45

Goals

  • Over 2.556%1.80
  • Under 2.544%2.25

Both teams to score

  • Yes58%1.71
  • No42%2.40

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Motherwell 31%, draw 26%, Hearts 43%.

Expected goals from the model: Motherwell 1.37, Hearts 1.54. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.

Motherwell have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLL).

Hearts have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWDLW).

In the table Motherwell are 10th with 8 points and Hearts 3rd with 16.

In their last 5 league meetings Motherwell won 0, Hearts won 2 and 3 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-18%
  • 1-08%

Motherwell form

LLLLL
  • Lat Kilmarnock2-32026-10-17
  • Lvs Celtic0-22026-10-11
  • Lat Dundee1-22026-09-19
  • Lvs Aberdeen0-42026-09-15
  • Lat Rangers0-12026-09-05

Hearts form

WLDWL
  • Lat Celtic1-72026-10-18
  • Wvs St. Mirren5-02026-10-10
  • Dat Kilmarnock1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Falkirk1-22026-09-15
  • Wvs Dundee2-12026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-05-09Motherwell 1-1 Hearts
  • 2026-04-11Hearts 3-1 Motherwell
  • 2025-11-29Motherwell 0-0 Hearts
  • 2025-08-23Hearts 3-3 Motherwell
  • 2025-05-10Hearts 3-0 Motherwell

More Scottish Premiership predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.