Motherwell vs Hearts prediction
Motherwell10th · 8 ptsSun 25 Oct
Hearts3rd · 16 ptsMotherwellDrawHearts
Our predictionHearts to winOpen game
43%Probability
2.32Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.37-1.54Expected goals
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Motherwell31%3.24
- Draw26%3.84
- Hearts43%2.32
Double chance
- Motherwell or draw57%1.76
- Motherwell or Hearts74%1.35
- Draw or Hearts69%1.45
Goals
- Over 2.556%1.80
- Under 2.544%2.25
Both teams to score
- Yes58%1.71
- No42%2.40
Match preview
An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Motherwell 31%, draw 26%, Hearts 43%.
Expected goals from the model: Motherwell 1.37, Hearts 1.54. The single most likely score is 1-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 56%.
Motherwell have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLL).
Hearts have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWDLW).
In the table Motherwell are 10th with 8 points and Hearts 3rd with 16.
In their last 5 league meetings Motherwell won 0, Hearts won 2 and 3 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29%
- 0-19%
- 2-18%
- 1-08%
Motherwell form
LLLLL
- Lat Kilmarnock2-32026-10-17
- Lvs Celtic0-22026-10-11
- Lat Dundee1-22026-09-19
- Lvs Aberdeen0-42026-09-15
- Lat Rangers0-12026-09-05
Hearts form
WLDWL
- Lat Celtic1-72026-10-18
- Wvs St. Mirren5-02026-10-10
- Dat Kilmarnock1-12026-09-19
- Lat Falkirk1-22026-09-15
- Wvs Dundee2-12026-09-06
Head to head
- 2026-05-09Motherwell 1-1 Hearts
- 2026-04-11Hearts 3-1 Motherwell
- 2025-11-29Motherwell 0-0 Hearts
- 2025-08-23Hearts 3-3 Motherwell
- 2025-05-10Hearts 3-0 Motherwell
More Scottish Premiership predictions
All matches ›Dundee UnitedMatch result
51%
1.97Fair odds
Analysis
FalkirkMatch result
47%
2.11Fair odds
Analysis
RangersMatch result
80%
1.25Fair odds
Analysis
St. MirrenMatch result
39%
2.58Fair odds
Analysis
CelticMatch result
61%
1.63Fair odds
Analysis
AberdeenMatch result
42%
2.39Fair odds
Analysis
Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.