Dundee United vs Aberdeen prediction

Scotland · Scottish Premiership · 24 October 2026

Dundee United6th · 12 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Aberdeen7th · 11 pts
Dundee UnitedDrawAberdeen
Our predictionDundee United to winLean
51%Probability
1.97Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.60-1.09Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Dundee United51%1.97
  • Draw26%3.89
  • Aberdeen24%4.24

Double chance

  • Dundee United or draw76%1.31
  • Dundee United or Aberdeen74%1.35
  • Draw or Aberdeen49%2.03

Goals

  • Over 2.550%1.99
  • Under 2.550%2.01

Both teams to score

  • Yes53%1.90
  • No47%2.11

Match preview

Dundee United have the edge at 51%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Aberdeen at 24%.

Expected goals from the model: Dundee United 1.60, Aberdeen 1.09. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 50%.

Dundee United have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWWDL).

Aberdeen have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (WLDWD).

In the table Dundee United are 6th with 12 points and Aberdeen 7th with 11.

In their last 5 league meetings Dundee United won 2, Aberdeen won 1 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-09%
  • 0-18%

Dundee United form

LDWWD
  • Dat St. Johnstone1-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Hibernian1-02026-10-10
  • Wat St. Mirren3-02026-09-19
  • Dvs Falkirk1-12026-09-05
  • Lat Motherwell0-32026-09-02

Aberdeen form

DWDLW
  • Wvs St. Mirren3-12026-10-17
  • Lvs St. Johnstone0-12026-10-11
  • Dat Hibernian1-12026-09-19
  • Wat Motherwell4-02026-09-15
  • Dvs Kilmarnock0-02026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2026-05-09Aberdeen 2-0 Dundee United
  • 2026-02-24Dundee United 0-0 Aberdeen
  • 2025-12-27Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee United
  • 2025-09-23Dundee United 2-0 Aberdeen
  • 2025-05-17Dundee United 2-1 Aberdeen

More Scottish Premiership predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.