St. Johnstone vs Motherwell prediction

Scotland · Scottish Premiership · 28 October 2026

St. Johnstone5th · 12 pts
Wed 28 Oct
Motherwell10th · 8 pts
St. JohnstoneDrawMotherwell
Our predictionMotherwell to winOpen game
41%Probability
2.44Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.19-1.35Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • St. Johnstone31%3.24
  • Draw28%3.55
  • Motherwell41%2.44

Double chance

  • St. Johnstone or draw59%1.70
  • St. Johnstone or Motherwell72%1.39
  • Draw or Motherwell69%1.45

Goals

  • Over 2.547%2.14
  • Under 2.553%1.87

Both teams to score

  • Yes51%1.95
  • No49%2.05

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. St. Johnstone 31%, draw 28%, Motherwell 41%.

Expected goals from the model: St. Johnstone 1.19, Motherwell 1.35. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.

St. Johnstone have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DWDLW).

Motherwell have won 0 and lost 5 of their last 5 league matches (LLLLL).

In the table St. Johnstone are 5th with 12 points and Motherwell 10th with 8.

In their last 5 league meetings St. Johnstone won 2, Motherwell won 3 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-010%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-08%

St. Johnstone form

WLDWD
  • Dvs Dundee United1-12026-10-17
  • Wat Aberdeen1-02026-10-11
  • Dvs Falkirk1-12026-09-19
  • Lvs Celtic0-12026-09-09
  • Wvs Hibernian2-12026-09-06

Motherwell form

LLLLL
  • Lat Kilmarnock2-32026-10-17
  • Lvs Celtic0-22026-10-11
  • Lat Dundee1-22026-09-19
  • Lvs Aberdeen0-42026-09-15
  • Lat Rangers0-12026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2025-04-26Motherwell 3-2 St. Johnstone
  • 2025-01-25St. Johnstone 2-1 Motherwell
  • 2024-11-09Motherwell 2-1 St. Johnstone
  • 2024-08-31St. Johnstone 1-2 Motherwell
  • 2024-05-19Motherwell 1-2 St. Johnstone

More Scottish Premiership predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.