Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

St. Johnstone vs Dundee prediction

Scotland · Scottish Premiership · 07 November 2026

St. Johnstone7th · 14 pts
2 - 1Full time
Dundee5th · 17 pts
St. JohnstoneDrawDundee
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Dundee to win (37%)
Our predictionDundee to winOpen game
37%Probability
2.71Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.37-1.32Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • St. Johnstone35%2.82
  • Draw28%3.61
  • Dundee37%2.71

Double chance

  • St. Johnstone or draw63%1.58
  • St. Johnstone or Dundee72%1.38
  • Draw or Dundee65%1.55

Goals

  • Over 2.550%1.99
  • Under 2.550%2.01

Both teams to score

  • Yes54%1.84
  • No46%2.19

Match in numbers

This season, St. Johnstone at home and Dundee away

St. Johnstone (home)Dundee (away)
Matches65
Points per game1.501.20
Goals scored per game1.671.20
Goals conceded per game1.501.20
Shots on target per game4.25.5
Shots on target conceded6.04.8
Clean sheets0%20%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%
Both teams scored83%60%
  • Dundee have scored in 10 straight league matches.
  • St. Johnstone: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 12th and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Dundee: 5th in the table; the model rates their attack 8th and their defence 10th in the league.
  • Our predictions for St. Johnstone matches: 1 of 4 correct.
  • Our predictions for Dundee matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 35% for St. Johnstone, 28% for the draw and 37% for Dundee.

At home this season St. Johnstone average 1.50 points and 1.7 goals per game, conceding 1.5. Away from home Dundee take 1.20 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.2 per game for St. Johnstone at home and 5.5 for Dundee on the road.

Current runs: Dundee have scored in 10 straight league matches.

St. Johnstone are 7th in the table while the model ranks them only 12th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.37 goals from St. Johnstone and 1.32 from Dundee; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 50% and both teams to score 54%.

In their last 5 league meetings St. Johnstone won 1, Dundee won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-010%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-18%
  • 1-28%

St. Johnstone form

WDLDD
  • Dat Kilmarnock2-22026-10-31
  • Dvs Motherwell2-22026-10-28
  • Lat Rangers0-42026-10-24
  • Dvs Dundee United1-12026-10-17
  • Wat Aberdeen1-02026-10-11

Dundee form

WWDLW
  • Wvs Kilmarnock3-12026-10-28
  • Lat St. Mirren1-22026-10-24
  • Dvs Rangers2-22026-10-17
  • Wat Falkirk2-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Motherwell2-12026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-09-02Dundee 1-1 St. Johnstone
  • 2025-05-18St. Johnstone 0-2 Dundee
  • 2025-03-01Dundee 1-1 St. Johnstone
  • 2025-01-05St. Johnstone 1-3 Dundee
  • 2024-10-26Dundee 1-2 St. Johnstone

Prediction made 2026-11-07 14:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.