Sporting CP vs Moreirense prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Sporting CP83%1.20
- Draw12%8.65
- Moreirense5%18.47
Double chance
- Sporting CP or draw95%1.06
- Sporting CP or Moreirense88%1.13
- Draw or Moreirense17%5.89
Goals
- Over 2.562%1.63
- Under 2.538%2.60
Both teams to score
- Yes47%2.14
- No53%1.88
Match in numbers
This season, Sporting CP at home and Moreirense away
| Sporting CP (home) | Moreirense (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.0 | 3.0 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.2 | 5.8 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 60% |
- Sporting CP have scored in 63 straight league matches.
- Sporting CP: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 2nd and their defence 2nd in the league.
- Moreirense: 9th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 12th in the league.
- Our predictions for Sporting CP matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Moreirense matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
The model makes Sporting CP clear favourites at 83%. The draw is rated at 12% and a win for Moreirense at 5%.
At home this season Sporting CP average 2.00 points and 2.2 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home Moreirense take 1.40 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.0 per game for Sporting CP at home and 3.0 for Moreirense on the road.
Current runs: Sporting CP have scored in 63 straight league matches.
Moreirense are 9th in the table while the model ranks them only 15th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
The model expects 2.46 goals from Sporting CP and 0.72 from Moreirense; 2-0 is the most likely scoreline at 13%, over 2.5 goals 62% and both teams to score 47%.
In their last 5 league meetings Sporting CP won 4 and Moreirense won 1.
Most likely scores
- 2-013%
- 1-010%
- 3-010%
- 2-19%
- 3-17%
Sporting CP form
- Wat Casa Pia2-02026-10-30
- Lvs Académico de Viseu1-22026-10-25
- Wat Sporting Braga3-12026-10-09
- Dvs Arouca2-22026-09-19
- Dat Famalicão1-12026-09-13
Moreirense form
- Wvs Estrela2-12026-10-31
- Wat Estoril3-12026-10-25
- Lvs Gil Vicente0-12026-10-09
- Dat Vitória Guimarães1-12026-09-20
- Wvs Marítimo3-12026-09-14
Head to head
- 2026-02-21Moreirense 0-3 Sporting CP
- 2025-09-22Sporting CP 3-0 Moreirense
- 2025-04-18Sporting CP 3-1 Moreirense
- 2024-12-05Moreirense 2-1 Sporting CP
- 2024-02-19Moreirense 0-2 Sporting CP
Prediction made 2026-11-07 20:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.