Sporting Braga vs Famalicão prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Sporting Braga47%2.13
- Draw28%3.54
- Famalicão25%4.02
Double chance
- Sporting Braga or draw75%1.33
- Sporting Braga or Famalicão72%1.39
- Draw or Famalicão53%1.88
Goals
- Over 2.540%2.53
- Under 2.560%1.66
Both teams to score
- Yes45%2.23
- No55%1.81
Match in numbers
This season, Sporting Braga at home and Famalicão away
| Sporting Braga (home) | Famalicão (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.25 | 0.80 |
| Shots on target per game | 5.2 | 4.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 2.5 | 2.8 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
- Sporting Braga have lost their last 3 league matches.
- Sporting Braga: 10th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 3rd in the league.
- Famalicão: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 7th and their defence 7th in the league.
- Our predictions for Sporting Braga matches: 2 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Famalicão matches: 3 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Sporting Braga (47%), though Famalicão win 25% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 28%.
At home this season Sporting Braga average 1.50 points and 1.0 goals per game, conceding 1.2. Away from home Famalicão take 1.60 points per game, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 5.2 per game for Sporting Braga at home and 4.4 for Famalicão on the road.
Current runs: Sporting Braga have lost their last 3 league matches.
Sporting Braga sit 10th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 4th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
Famalicão sit 11th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 6th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.31 goals from Sporting Braga and 0.96 from Famalicão; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14%, over 2.5 goals 40% and both teams to score 45%.
In their last 5 league meetings Sporting Braga won 2 and 3 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-014%
- 1-113%
- 0-110%
- 0-010%
- 2-09%
Sporting Braga form
- Lat Nacional0-12026-10-25
- Lvs Gil Vicente1-22026-10-19
- Lvs Sporting CP1-32026-10-09
- Dat Santa Clara0-02026-09-20
- Wvs Estoril1-02026-09-14
Famalicão form
- Wat Rio Ave4-02026-10-25
- Lvs Alverca1-42026-10-12
- Wat Nacional4-02026-09-19
- Dvs Sporting CP1-12026-09-13
- Dat Estrela2-22026-09-05
Head to head
- 2026-04-19Sporting Braga 2-2 Famalicão
- 2025-12-06Famalicão 1-2 Sporting Braga
- 2025-04-25Famalicão 1-1 Sporting Braga
- 2024-12-16Sporting Braga 3-3 Famalicão
- 2024-01-18Famalicão 1-2 Sporting Braga
Prediction made 2026-11-01 20:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.