Sevilla vs Osasuna prediction

Spain · La Liga · 26 October 2026

Sevilla6th · 14 pts
Mon 26 Oct
Osasuna10th · 11 pts
SevillaDrawOsasuna
Our predictionSevilla to winLean
50%Probability
2.00Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.50-1.05Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Sevilla50%2.00
  • Draw26%3.80
  • Osasuna24%4.20

Double chance

  • Sevilla or draw76%1.31
  • Sevilla or Osasuna74%1.36
  • Draw or Osasuna50%2.00

Goals

  • Over 2.547%2.13
  • Under 2.553%1.88

Both teams to score

  • Yes50%1.99
  • No50%2.01

Match preview

Sevilla have the edge at 50%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 26% and a win for Osasuna at 24%.

Expected goals from the model: Sevilla 1.50, Osasuna 1.05. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 47%.

Sevilla have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LDLWW).

Osasuna have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (WLDLL).

In the table Sevilla are 6th with 14 points and Osasuna 10th with 11.

In their last 5 league meetings Sevilla won 1, Osasuna won 2 and 2 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-012%
  • 2-19%
  • 2-09%
  • 0-18%

Sevilla form

WWLDL
  • Lat Real Madrid1-42026-10-18
  • Dat Levante3-32026-10-12
  • Lvs Barcelona1-32026-09-19
  • Wat Deportivo de La Coruña1-02026-09-16
  • Wvs Valencia1-02026-09-11

Osasuna form

LLDLW
  • Wvs Racing de Santander2-02026-10-18
  • Lat Real Betis2-52026-10-11
  • Dvs Rayo Vallecano1-12026-09-19
  • Lat Atletico Madrid0-42026-09-16
  • Lvs Espanyol0-22026-09-12

Head to head

  • 2026-04-26Osasuna 2-1 Sevilla
  • 2025-11-08Sevilla 1-0 Osasuna
  • 2025-04-24Osasuna 1-0 Sevilla
  • 2024-12-02Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna
  • 2024-01-28Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna

More La Liga predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.