Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Sevilla47%2.13
- Draw27%3.72
- Alavés26%3.82
Double chance
- Sevilla or draw74%1.35
- Sevilla or Alavés73%1.37
- Draw or Alavés53%1.88
Goals
- Over 2.548%2.10
- Under 2.552%1.91
Both teams to score
- Yes51%1.95
- No49%2.06
Match in numbers
This season, Sevilla at home and Alavés away
| Sevilla (home) | Alavés (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Shots on target conceded | 3.4 | 4.6 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
- Sevilla have scored in 11 straight league matches.
- Alavés have gone 7 league matches without a win.
- Sevilla: 6th in the table; the model rates their attack 11th and their defence 10th in the league.
- Alavés: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 9th in the league.
- Our predictions for Sevilla matches: 1 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Alavés matches: 1 of 3 correct.
Match preview
A slight lean towards Sevilla (47%), though Alavés win 26% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 27%.
At home this season Sevilla average 1.80 points and 1.4 goals per game, conceding 1.4. Away from home Alavés take 0.40 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.6 per game for Sevilla at home and 4.6 for Alavés on the road.
Current runs: Sevilla have scored in 11 straight league matches; Alavés have gone 7 league matches without a win.
Sevilla are 6th in the table while the model ranks them only 11th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.
The model expects 1.47 goals from Sevilla and 1.11 from Alavés; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 51%.
In their last 5 league meetings Sevilla won 1, Alavés won 2 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-011%
- 2-19%
- 0-19%
- 2-08%
Sevilla form
- Lat Getafe1-32026-11-01
- Wvs Osasuna2-02026-10-26
- Lat Real Madrid1-42026-10-18
- Dat Levante3-32026-10-12
- Lvs Barcelona1-32026-09-19
Alavés form
- Lat Barcelona1-62026-10-31
- Dvs Málaga1-12026-10-23
- Lat Celta Vigo1-22026-10-18
- Lvs Atletico Madrid1-22026-10-10
- Dat Athletic Club0-02026-09-19
Head to head
- 2026-02-14Sevilla 1-1 Alavés
- 2025-09-20Alavés 1-2 Sevilla
- 2025-04-20Sevilla 1-1 Alavés
- 2024-09-20Alavés 2-1 Sevilla
- 2024-01-12Sevilla 2-3 Alavés
Prediction made 2026-11-06 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.