Updated 07:17 UTCTrack record

Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig prediction

Germany · Bundesliga · 31 October 2026

Schalke 0415th · 5 pts
Sat 31 Oct
RB Leipzig7th · 9 pts
Schalke 04DrawRB Leipzig
Our predictionRB Leipzig to winLean
52%Probability
1.92Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.26-1.67Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Schalke 0424%4.12
  • Draw24%4.25
  • RB Leipzig52%1.92

Double chance

  • Schalke 04 or draw48%2.09
  • Schalke 04 or RB Leipzig76%1.31
  • Draw or RB Leipzig76%1.32

Goals

  • Over 2.556%1.78
  • Under 2.544%2.28

Both teams to score

  • Yes58%1.73
  • No42%2.38

Match in numbers

This season, Schalke 04 at home and RB Leipzig away

Schalke 04 (home)RB Leipzig (away)
Matches33
Points per game0.670.00
Goals scored per game0.000.67
Goals conceded per game0.333.67
Shots on target per game1.74.0
Shots on target conceded4.010.0
Clean sheets67%0%
Over 2.5 goals0%67%
Both teams scored0%67%
  • Schalke 04: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 17th and their defence 8th in the league.
  • RB Leipzig: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 6th in the league.

Match preview

A slight lean towards RB Leipzig (52%), though Schalke 04 win 24% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 24%.

At home this season Schalke 04 average 0.67 points and 0.0 goals per game, conceding 0.3. Away from home RB Leipzig take 0.00 points per game, scoring 0.7 and conceding 3.7. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 1.7 per game for Schalke 04 at home and 4.0 for RB Leipzig on the road.

The model expects 1.26 goals from Schalke 04 and 1.67 from RB Leipzig; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 56% and both teams to score 58%.

RB Leipzig won all 5 of the last league meetings between the two.

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-29%
  • 0-19%
  • 0-27%
  • 2-17%

Schalke 04 form

DWDLL
  • Lvs Mainz 050-12026-10-17
  • Lat Freiburg1-22026-10-11
  • Dvs Elversberg0-02026-09-20
  • Wat Union Berlin3-12026-09-11
  • Dvs Bayern Munich0-02026-09-05

RB Leipzig form

LWLWL
  • Lat Bayern Munich1-62026-10-17
  • Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt6-02026-10-10
  • Lat Bayer Leverkusen0-22026-09-20
  • Wvs Hamburger SV5-02026-09-13
  • Lat Werder Bremen1-32026-09-05

Head to head

  • 2023-05-27RB Leipzig 4-2 Schalke 04
  • 2023-01-24Schalke 04 1-6 RB Leipzig
  • 2021-02-06Schalke 04 0-3 RB Leipzig
  • 2020-10-03RB Leipzig 4-0 Schalke 04
  • 2020-02-22Schalke 04 0-5 RB Leipzig

More Bundesliga predictions

All matches ›

Prediction last updated 2026-10-24 07:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.