Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Sassuolo41%2.44
- Draw26%3.92
- Fiorentina33%2.99
Double chance
- Sassuolo or draw67%1.50
- Sassuolo or Fiorentina74%1.34
- Draw or Fiorentina59%1.70
Goals
- Over 2.560%1.67
- Under 2.540%2.50
Both teams to score
- Yes62%1.62
- No38%2.62
Match in numbers
This season, Sassuolo at home and Fiorentina away
| Sassuolo (home) | Fiorentina (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Points per game | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Shots on target per game | 4.5 | 4.8 |
| Shots on target conceded | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 100% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 75% |
- Sassuolo have lost their last 3 league matches.
- Fiorentina have gone 5 league matches without a win.
- Sassuolo: 15th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 19th in the league.
- Fiorentina: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 10th and their defence 15th in the league.
- Our predictions for Sassuolo matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Fiorentina matches: 1 of 4 correct.
Match preview
Hard to call. The model spreads it 41% for Sassuolo, 26% for the draw and 33% for Fiorentina.
At home this season Sassuolo average 1.75 points and 2.0 goals per game, conceding 2.5. Away from home Fiorentina take 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.5. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.5 per game for Sassuolo at home and 4.8 for Fiorentina on the road.
Current runs: Sassuolo have lost their last 3 league matches; Fiorentina have gone 5 league matches without a win.
Fiorentina sit 17th in the table, but their underlying numbers rank 11th in the league, so the model rates them higher than their position suggests.
The model expects 1.61 goals from Sassuolo and 1.49 from Fiorentina; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 11%, over 2.5 goals 60% and both teams to score 62%.
In their last 5 league meetings Sassuolo won 2, Fiorentina won 2 and 1 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 1-07%
- 0-17%
Sassuolo form
- Lvs Lazio2-62026-10-27
- Lat Como0-22026-10-24
- Lat Frosinone2-42026-10-16
- Dvs AC Milan1-12026-10-11
- Lat Monza1-22026-09-18
Fiorentina form
- Dvs Atalanta2-22026-10-29
- Lat Inter Milan1-22026-10-25
- Lvs Como1-32026-10-18
- Lat Genoa1-22026-10-10
- Dvs Napoli1-12026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-04-26Fiorentina 0-0 Sassuolo
- 2025-12-06Sassuolo 3-1 Fiorentina
- 2024-04-28Fiorentina 5-1 Sassuolo
- 2024-01-06Sassuolo 1-0 Fiorentina
- 2023-06-02Sassuolo 1-3 Fiorentina
Prediction made 2026-11-02 17:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.