Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente prediction

Portugal · Primeira Liga · 08 November 2026

Santa Clara4th · 21 pts
1 - 2Full time
Gil Vicente7th · 15 pts
Santa ClaraDrawGil Vicente
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Santa Clara to win (42%)
Our predictionSanta Clara to winOpen game
42%Probability
2.40Fair odds
0-0Likely score
0.97-0.85Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Santa Clara42%2.40
  • Draw31%3.27
  • Gil Vicente28%3.61

Double chance

  • Santa Clara or draw72%1.38
  • Santa Clara or Gil Vicente69%1.44
  • Draw or Gil Vicente58%1.71

Goals

  • Over 2.527%3.64
  • Under 2.573%1.38

Both teams to score

  • Yes35%2.83
  • No65%1.55

Match in numbers

This season, Santa Clara at home and Gil Vicente away

Santa Clara (home)Gil Vicente (away)
Matches54
Points per game1.601.75
Goals scored per game1.601.00
Goals conceded per game0.801.00
Shots on target per game4.42.5
Shots on target conceded2.83.5
Clean sheets60%50%
Over 2.5 goals60%50%
Both teams scored40%50%
  • Santa Clara: 4th in the table; the model rates their attack 16th and their defence 6th in the league.
  • Gil Vicente: 7th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 5th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Santa Clara matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Gil Vicente matches: 1 of 3 correct.

Match preview

Hard to call. The model spreads it 42% for Santa Clara, 31% for the draw and 28% for Gil Vicente.

At home this season Santa Clara average 1.60 points and 1.6 goals per game, conceding 0.8. Away from home Gil Vicente take 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.0. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 4.4 per game for Santa Clara at home and 2.5 for Gil Vicente on the road.

The model expects 0.97 goals from Santa Clara and 0.85 from Gil Vicente; 0-0 is the most likely scoreline at 16%, over 2.5 goals 27% and both teams to score 35%.

In their last 5 league meetings Santa Clara won 4 and Gil Vicente won 1.

Most likely scores

  • 0-016%
  • 1-016%
  • 0-114%
  • 1-113%
  • 2-08%

Santa Clara form

WDWLW
  • Wat Marítimo2-02026-11-01
  • Lvs Benfica1-22026-10-26
  • Wat Casa Pia1-02026-10-10
  • Dvs Sporting Braga0-02026-09-20
  • Wat Arouca2-12026-09-13

Gil Vicente form

DWWLD
  • Dvs Vitória Guimarães0-02026-11-02
  • Lvs Porto0-12026-10-24
  • Wat Sporting Braga2-12026-10-19
  • Wat Moreirense1-02026-10-09
  • Dvs Marítimo1-12026-09-19

Head to head

  • 2026-03-21Santa Clara 1-0 Gil Vicente
  • 2025-11-03Gil Vicente 1-0 Santa Clara
  • 2025-03-15Gil Vicente 0-1 Santa Clara
  • 2024-10-25Santa Clara 2-1 Gil Vicente
  • 2023-05-06Santa Clara 3-2 Gil Vicente

Prediction made 2026-11-08 15:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.