Rotherham United vs Newport County prediction

England · League Two · 20 October 2026

Rotherham United
2 - 2Full time
Newport County
Rotherham UnitedDrawNewport County
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Rotherham United to win (40%)
Our predictionRotherham United to winOpen game
40%Probability
2.49Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.48-1.35Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Rotherham United40%2.49
  • Draw25%3.96
  • Newport County35%2.89

Double chance

  • Rotherham United or draw65%1.53
  • Rotherham United or Newport County75%1.34
  • Draw or Newport County60%1.67

Goals

  • Over 2.554%1.86
  • Under 2.546%2.16

Both teams to score

  • Yes57%1.76
  • No43%2.32

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Rotherham United 40%, draw 25%, Newport County 35%.

Expected goals from the model: Rotherham United 1.48, Newport County 1.35. The single most likely score is 1-1 (12%), and the chance of three or more goals is 54%.

Rotherham United have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLLDW).

Newport County have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DWDWD).

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-09%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-18%
  • 1-28%

Rotherham United form

WDLLL
  • Lat Fleetwood Town0-22026-10-17
  • Lvs Gillingham1-42026-10-10
  • Lat Exeter City0-12026-10-03
  • Dvs Crewe Alexandra1-12026-09-26
  • Wat Northampton Town1-02026-09-19

Newport County form

DWDWD
  • Dvs York City1-12026-10-17
  • Wvs Colchester United1-02026-10-10
  • Dat Gillingham0-02026-10-03
  • Wvs Grimsby Town2-12026-09-26
  • Dat Accrington Stanley0-02026-09-19

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

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Analysis

This match was played before FootyMath launched: the prediction was calculated afterwards from the matches before its date only, the same way as our backtest, and is not counted in the live track record. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.