Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Roma76%1.32
- Draw14%7.36
- Sassuolo11%9.31
Double chance
- Roma or draw89%1.12
- Roma or Sassuolo86%1.16
- Draw or Sassuolo24%4.11
Goals
- Over 2.568%1.47
- Under 2.532%3.13
Both teams to score
- Yes60%1.65
- No40%2.53
Match in numbers
This season, Roma at home and Sassuolo away
| Roma (home) | Sassuolo (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 2.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored per game | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Shots on target per game | 7.0 | 5.6 |
| Shots on target conceded | 4.0 | 6.8 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% |
- Roma are unbeaten in 17 league matches.
- Sassuolo have lost their last 4 league matches.
- Roma: 3rd in the table; the model rates their attack 3rd and their defence 5th in the league.
- Sassuolo: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 13th and their defence 19th in the league.
- Our predictions for Roma matches: 3 of 4 correct.
- Our predictions for Sassuolo matches: 3 of 4 correct.
Match preview
The model makes Roma clear favourites at 76%. The draw is rated at 14% and a win for Sassuolo at 11%.
At home this season Roma average 2.60 points and 2.8 goals per game, conceding 1.0. Away from home Sassuolo take 0.20 points per game, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.4. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Roma manage 7.0 per home game and Sassuolo 5.6 per away game.
Form lines: Roma are unbeaten in 17 league matches; Sassuolo have lost their last 4 league matches.
Expected goals from the model: Roma 2.41, Sassuolo 1.10. The single most likely score is 2-1 (10%), and the chance of three or more goals is 68%.
In their last 5 league meetings Roma won 4 and Sassuolo won 1.
Most likely scores
- 2-110%
- 2-09%
- 1-18%
- 3-18%
- 1-07%
Roma form
- Wat Udinese5-22026-10-31
- Wvs Cagliari4-22026-10-27
- Dat Napoli3-32026-10-24
- Wvs Genoa2-02026-10-17
- Dat Como0-02026-10-11
Sassuolo form
- Lvs Fiorentina2-42026-11-02
- Lvs Lazio2-62026-10-27
- Lat Como0-22026-10-24
- Lat Frosinone2-42026-10-16
- Dvs AC Milan1-12026-10-11
Head to head
- 2026-01-10Roma 2-0 Sassuolo
- 2025-10-26Sassuolo 0-1 Roma
- 2024-03-17Roma 1-0 Sassuolo
- 2023-12-03Sassuolo 1-2 Roma
- 2023-03-12Roma 3-4 Sassuolo
Prediction made 2026-11-07 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.