Rochdale vs Accrington Stanley prediction

England · League Two · 24 October 2026

Rochdale14th · 15 pts
Sat 24 Oct
Accrington Stanley11th · 15 pts
RochdaleDrawAccrington Stanley
Our predictionRochdale to winOpen game
37%Probability
2.71Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.16-1.24Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Rochdale37%2.71
  • Draw29%3.48
  • Accrington Stanley34%2.92

Double chance

  • Rochdale or draw66%1.52
  • Rochdale or Accrington Stanley71%1.40
  • Draw or Accrington Stanley63%1.59

Goals

  • Over 2.543%2.31
  • Under 2.557%1.76

Both teams to score

  • Yes49%2.05
  • No51%1.95

Match preview

An open game: no outcome reaches 45%. Rochdale 37%, draw 29%, Accrington Stanley 34%.

Expected goals from the model: Rochdale 1.16, Accrington Stanley 1.24. The single most likely score is 1-1 (13%), and the chance of three or more goals is 43%.

Rochdale have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches (DLDWW).

Accrington Stanley have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches (DWDWD).

In the table Rochdale are 14th with 15 points and Accrington Stanley 11th with 15.

In their last 3 league meetings Rochdale won 2, Accrington Stanley won 1 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-113%
  • 0-111%
  • 1-011%
  • 0-09%
  • 1-28%

Rochdale form

WWDLD
  • Dvs Grimsby Town2-22026-10-20
  • Lat Crewe Alexandra2-32026-10-17
  • Dat Tranmere Rovers1-12026-10-10
  • Wvs Swindon Town1-02026-10-03
  • Wat Fleetwood Town2-12026-09-26

Accrington Stanley form

DWDWD
  • Dat York City1-12026-10-20
  • Wvs Gillingham3-12026-10-17
  • Dat Oldham Athletic0-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Cheltenham Town2-02026-10-03
  • Dat Swindon Town1-12026-09-26

Head to head

  • 2021-04-17Rochdale 3-1 Accrington Stanley
  • 2020-10-10Accrington Stanley 2-1 Rochdale
  • 2020-01-01Accrington Stanley 1-2 Rochdale

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.