Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Rizespor vs Erzurumspor FK prediction

Turkey · Süper Lig · 08 November 2026

Rizespor13th · 11 pts
2 - 1Full time
Erzurumspor FK11th · 14 pts
RizesporDrawErzurumspor FK
Prediction correctModel pick before kick-off: Rizespor to win (53%)
Our predictionRizespor to winLean
53%Probability
1.90Fair odds
1-0Likely score
1.46-0.88Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Rizespor53%1.90
  • Draw27%3.75
  • Erzurumspor FK21%4.86

Double chance

  • Rizespor or draw79%1.26
  • Rizespor or Erzurumspor FK73%1.36
  • Draw or Erzurumspor FK47%2.12

Goals

  • Over 2.542%2.40
  • Under 2.558%1.71

Both teams to score

  • Yes45%2.23
  • No55%1.81

Match in numbers

This season, Rizespor at home and Erzurumspor FK away

Rizespor (home)Erzurumspor FK (away)
Matches45
Points per game0.001.00
Goals scored per game0.750.80
Goals conceded per game2.501.60
Shots on target per game6.02.8
Shots on target conceded4.25.6
Clean sheets0%20%
Over 2.5 goals50%60%
Both teams scored25%40%
  • Rizespor have gone 5 league matches without a win.
  • Rizespor: 13th in the table; the model rates their attack 9th and their defence 13th in the league.
  • Erzurumspor FK: 11th in the table; the model rates their attack 18th and their defence 11th in the league.
  • Our predictions for Rizespor matches: 2 of 3 correct.
  • Our predictions for Erzurumspor FK matches: 2 of 3 correct.

Match preview

A slight lean towards Rizespor (53%), though Erzurumspor FK win 21% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 27%.

At home this season Rizespor average 0.00 points and 0.8 goals per game, conceding 2.5. Away from home Erzurumspor FK take 1.00 points per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. Shots on target, which drive our ratings, read 6.0 per game for Rizespor at home and 2.8 for Erzurumspor FK on the road.

Current runs: Rizespor have gone 5 league matches without a win.

Erzurumspor FK are 11th in the table while the model ranks them only 17th on performance, so it expects them to drift back.

The model expects 1.46 goals from Rizespor and 0.88 from Erzurumspor FK; 1-0 is the most likely scoreline at 14%, over 2.5 goals 42% and both teams to score 45%.

In their last 2 league meetings Erzurumspor FK won 1 and 1 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%
  • 1-112%
  • 2-010%
  • 0-09%
  • 2-19%

Rizespor form

DLLLD
  • Dat Kocaelispor0-02026-10-31
  • Lvs Trabzonspor3-42026-10-26
  • Lat Çorum1-22026-10-16
  • Lvs Fenerbahçe0-32026-10-10
  • Dat Göztepe2-22026-09-20

Erzurumspor FK form

WDWWL
  • Lvs Çorum1-32026-10-31
  • Wat Gaziantep FK3-12026-10-24
  • Wvs Eyüpspor2-02026-10-17
  • Dat Alanyaspor0-02026-10-10
  • Wvs Samsunspor1-02026-09-20

Head to head

  • 2021-02-12Rizespor 0-2 Erzurumspor FK
  • 2020-10-03Erzurumspor FK 0-0 Rizespor

Prediction made 2026-11-08 10:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.