Rio Ave vs Sporting Braga prediction
Betting markets
Model chances and the fair odds they imply
Match result
- Rio Ave19%5.30
- Draw24%4.17
- Sporting Braga57%1.75
Double chance
- Rio Ave or draw43%2.33
- Rio Ave or Sporting Braga76%1.32
- Draw or Sporting Braga81%1.23
Goals
- Over 2.552%1.92
- Under 2.548%2.09
Both teams to score
- Yes52%1.93
- No48%2.07
Match in numbers
This season, Rio Ave at home and Sporting Braga away
| Rio Ave (home) | Sporting Braga (away) | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 3.00 | 1.20 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| Shots on target conceded | 5.8 | 3.0 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
- Rio Ave: 17th in the table; the model rates their attack 15th and their defence 17th in the league.
- Sporting Braga: 8th in the table; the model rates their attack 4th and their defence 3rd in the league.
- Our predictions for Rio Ave matches: 3 of 3 correct.
- Our predictions for Sporting Braga matches: 2 of 3 correct.
Match preview
Sporting Braga have the edge at 57%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 24% and a win for Rio Ave at 19%.
At home this season Rio Ave average 0.80 points and 1.2 goals per game, conceding 3.0. Away from home Sporting Braga take 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2. On shots on target, the measure the model leans on most, Rio Ave manage 3.2 per home game and Sporting Braga 3.4 per away game.
Expected goals from the model: Rio Ave 0.98, Sporting Braga 1.78. The single most likely score is 0-1 (11%), and the chance of three or more goals is 52%.
In their last 5 league meetings Rio Ave won 1, Sporting Braga won 2 and 2 ended level.
Most likely scores
- 0-111%
- 1-111%
- 0-210%
- 1-210%
- 1-06%
Rio Ave form
- Lat Académico de Viseu1-22026-11-01
- Lvs Famalicão0-42026-10-25
- Wvs Nacional3-22026-10-11
- Lat Alverca0-12026-09-19
- Dvs Estrela3-32026-09-14
Sporting Braga form
- Wvs Famalicão3-02026-11-01
- Lat Nacional0-12026-10-25
- Lvs Gil Vicente1-22026-10-19
- Lvs Sporting CP1-32026-10-09
- Dat Santa Clara0-02026-09-20
Head to head
- 2026-02-08Sporting Braga 3-0 Rio Ave
- 2025-08-31Rio Ave 2-2 Sporting Braga
- 2025-03-02Rio Ave 2-1 Sporting Braga
- 2024-09-29Sporting Braga 4-0 Rio Ave
- 2024-03-09Rio Ave 0-0 Sporting Braga
Prediction made 2026-11-08 20:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.