Updated 21:17 UTCTrack record

Riga vs Jablonec prediction

Europe · Conference League · 05 November 2026

Riga
1 - 1Full time
Jablonec
RigaDrawJablonec
Prediction missedModel pick before kick-off: Riga to win (49%)
Our predictionRiga to winLean
49%Probability
2.03Fair odds
1-1Likely score
1.44-1.14Expected goals

European cup match: rated by our separate cup model, which compares clubs across countries. Its results are counted apart from the league record.

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Riga49%2.03
  • Draw25%4.03
  • Jablonec26%3.87

Double chance

  • Riga or draw74%1.35
  • Riga or Jablonec75%1.33
  • Draw or Jablonec51%1.98

Goals

  • Over 2.548%2.10
  • Under 2.552%1.91

Both teams to score

  • Yes52%1.94
  • No48%2.07

Match preview

A slight lean towards Riga (49%), though Jablonec win 26% of the time in the model and the draw sits at 25%.

The model expects 1.44 goals from Riga and 1.14 from Jablonec; 1-1 is the most likely scoreline at 12%, over 2.5 goals 48% and both teams to score 52%.

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%
  • 2-19%
  • 0-19%
  • 2-08%

Riga form

DDWDD
  • Dat Pafos1-12026-10-22
  • Dvs Kairat1-12026-10-15
  • Wvs KÍ2-12026-08-27
  • Dat KÍ0-02026-08-20
  • Dat Győri ETO1-12026-08-13

Jablonec form

LLDWL
  • Lvs Slavia Prague0-52026-10-31
  • Wat Hradec Králové2-12026-10-25
  • Dvs Brighton & Hove Albion0-02026-10-22
  • Lvs Viktoria Plzeň2-32026-10-18
  • Lat Freiburg2-32026-10-15

Head to head

  • No meetings in our data since 2020.

Prediction made 2026-11-05 19:17 UTC and frozen at kick-off. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.