Rennes vs Strasbourg prediction

France · Ligue 1 · 25 October 2026

Rennes6th · 13 pts
Sun 25 Oct
Strasbourg14th · 7 pts
RennesDrawStrasbourg
Our predictionRennes to winLean
56%Probability
1.80Fair odds
2-1Likely score
2.28-1.52Expected goals

Betting markets

Model chances and the fair odds they imply

Match result

  • Rennes56%1.80
  • Draw20%4.90
  • Strasbourg24%4.17

Double chance

  • Rennes or draw76%1.32
  • Rennes or Strasbourg80%1.26
  • Draw or Strasbourg44%2.25

Goals

  • Over 2.573%1.37
  • Under 2.527%3.71

Both teams to score

  • Yes70%1.43
  • No30%3.33

Match preview

Rennes have the edge at 56%, but this is far from settled: the draw is at 20% and a win for Strasbourg at 24%.

Expected goals from the model: Rennes 2.28, Strasbourg 1.52. The single most likely score is 2-1 (9%), and the chance of three or more goals is 73%.

Rennes have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches (LWLWW).

Strasbourg have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches (LLLDW).

In the table Rennes are 6th with 13 points and Strasbourg 14th with 7.

In their last 5 league meetings Rennes won 3, Strasbourg won 2 and 0 ended level.

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%
  • 1-18%
  • 2-27%
  • 3-17%
  • 1-26%

Rennes form

WWLWL
  • Lat Paris FC3-42026-10-18
  • Wvs Auxerre4-12026-10-11
  • Lat Olympique Lyonnais0-42026-09-19
  • Wvs Marseille1-02026-09-11
  • Wat Angers SCO2-12026-09-06

Strasbourg form

WDLLL
  • Lvs PSG1-32026-10-17
  • Lat Nice1-22026-10-11
  • Lat Paris FC1-22026-09-19
  • Dvs Monaco1-12026-09-12
  • Wat Troyes6-22026-09-06

Head to head

  • 2026-04-19Strasbourg 0-3 Rennes
  • 2025-11-02Rennes 4-1 Strasbourg
  • 2025-02-02Rennes 1-0 Strasbourg
  • 2024-08-25Strasbourg 3-1 Rennes
  • 2024-03-31Strasbourg 2-0 Rennes

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Prediction last updated 2026-10-22 21:17 UTC. Fair odds are 1 divided by the model probability, not bookmaker prices. Published by Semalt; see how it works and the track record.